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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Phoenix Rising v FC Tulsa: numbers & prediction

USL Championship · USA · Wild Horse Pass Stadium
2–1
FT
Phoenix Rising 58%Draw 17%FC Tulsa 24% Expected goals 1.56 – 0.84
58%
Betarazi pick

Phoenix Rising to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.91 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.91Odds

Picks by market

ResultPhoenix Rising to win ✓58% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.78

Phoenix Rising vs FC Tulsa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

03:00 WAT, Sunday 13 September: Phoenix Rising v FC Tulsa in the USL Championship, played at Wild Horse Pass Stadium. In the table, Phoenix Rising are 8th, lower half, on 40 points after 30 matches; FC Tulsa are 7th (lower half) with 43. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Phoenix Rising, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Monterey Bay, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

FC Tulsa, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with San Antonio, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Mar 2026) it ended FC Tulsa 1–1 Phoenix Rising.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Phoenix Rising 1.6 xG, FC Tulsa 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Phoenix Rising 58%, draw 17%, FC Tulsa 24%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Phoenix Rising to win (58%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.71, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Phoenix Rising 1–0 FC Tulsa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Phoenix Rising58%fair 1.71 · @1.91
Draw17%fair 5.78 · @3.40
FC Tulsa24%fair 4.12 · @3.30
2.40Expected goals
1.56Phoenix Rising xG
0.84FC Tulsa xG
59%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%

From our goals model: Phoenix Rising 1.6 – 0.8 FC Tulsa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPhoenix Rising to win ✓58%1.711.91 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83%1.211.29 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.711.62
Draw no betPhoenix Rising (draw no bet) ✓71%1.42–
Asian handicapFC Tulsa +1 (Asian handicap)61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗57%1.76–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scorePhoenix Rising to score first ✓59%1.69–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Phoenix Rising / FT Phoenix Rising ✓33%3.04–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%10.78–

Recent results

Phoenix Rising – last 6

DWDWLD
6 Sep@ Monterey Bay1–1D
30 Augvs Indy Eleven2–1W
23 Aug@ Sacramento Republic2–2D
20 Augvs Colorado Springs3–1W
9 Aug@ Lexington0–1L
2 Aug@ Las Vegas Lights1–1D
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

FC Tulsa – last 6

DWWLLW
6 Sep@ San Antonio0–0D
30 Augvs Rhode Island1–0W
23 Aug@ Orange County SC5–1W
16 Aug@ New Mexico United0–1L
9 Augvs Detroit City0–1L
6 Augvs Sacramento Republic1–0W
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Mar 2026FC Tulsa v Phoenix Rising1–1
Phoenix Rising vs FC Tulsa head-to-head page →

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1New Mexico United301578+1152
2Sacramento Republic3013125+1451
3El Paso Locomotive3015510+1050
4Lexington3014610+1848
5Colorado Springs301389+647
6San Antonio3011127+245
7FC Tulsa3011109+343
8Phoenix Rising30101010-140
9Orange County SC3010911-1039
10Oakland Roots3091110-138
11Las Vegas Lights3010614-736
12Monterey Bay306618-2024

More USL Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Phoenix Rising vs FC Tulsa?

Our pick is Phoenix Rising to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.

Who will win Phoenix Rising vs FC Tulsa?

On our numbers Phoenix Rising have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 17% and FC Tulsa 24%.

How many goals will there be in Phoenix Rising vs FC Tulsa?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Phoenix Rising vs FC Tulsa?

Our predicted score is Phoenix Rising 1–0 FC Tulsa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Phoenix Rising vs FC Tulsa?

Phoenix Rising vs FC Tulsa (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Wild Horse Pass Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.