Indy Eleven 65%Draw 16%Miami FC 19%Expected goals 2.03 – 0.95
65%
Betarazi pick
Indy Eleven to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultIndy Eleven to win ✗65% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Indy Eleven vs Miami FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 27 September the USL Championship brings Indy Eleven against Miami FC at Michael A. Carroll Stadium. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, Indy Eleven are 9th, lower half, on 34 points after 30 matches; Miami FC are 8th (lower half) with 36. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Indy Eleven, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Oakland Roots, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Miami FC, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Rhode Island, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (16 Jul 2026) it ended Miami FC 2–0 Indy Eleven.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Indy Eleven 2.0 xG, Miami FC 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Indy Eleven 65%, draw 16%, Miami FC 19%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Indy Eleven to win (65%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.54, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Indy Eleven 2–0 Miami FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Indy Eleven65%fair 1.54 · @1.67
Draw16%fair 6.32 · @3.90
Miami FC19%fair 5.16 · @3.80
2.98Expected goals
2.03Indy Eleven xG
0.95Miami FC xG
62%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Indy Eleven 2.0 – 1.0 Miami FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Indy Eleven vs Miami FC?
Our pick is Indy Eleven to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Indy Eleven vs Miami FC?
On our numbers Indy Eleven have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Miami FC 19%.
How many goals will there be in Indy Eleven vs Miami FC?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Indy Eleven vs Miami FC?
Our predicted score is Indy Eleven 2–0 Miami FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Indy Eleven vs Miami FC?
Indy Eleven vs Miami FC (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Michael A. Carroll Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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