San Antonio vs Tampa Bay Rowdies: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 27 September the USL Championship brings San Antonio against Tampa Bay Rowdies at Toyota Field. Kick-off: 01:30 WAT. In the table, San Antonio are 6th, upper half, on 45 points after 30 matches; Tampa Bay Rowdies are 1st (leading the league) with 61. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
San Antonio, last 5: DLDDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Sacramento Republic, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Tampa Bay Rowdies, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Birmingham Legion, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Tampa Bay Rowdies, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for San Antonio.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give San Antonio 1.1 xG, Tampa Bay Rowdies 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – San Antonio 32%, draw 23%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 44%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Antonio 1–1 Tampa Bay Rowdies. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
San Antonio32%fair 3.11 · @3.25
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.00
Tampa Bay Rowdies44%fair 2.25 · @2.10
2.50Expected goals
1.12San Antonio xG
1.38Tampa Bay Rowdies xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: San Antonio 1.1 – 1.4 Tampa Bay Rowdies expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tampa Bay Rowdies to win✗
44%
2.25
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.75
Draw no bet
Tampa Bay Rowdies (draw no bet)
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
San Antonio +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Tampa Bay Rowdies to score first✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tampa Bay Rowdies / FT Tampa Bay Rowdies✗
25%
4.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.43
–
Recent results
San Antonio – last 6
DLDDWL
21 Sep
@ Sacramento Republic
0–0
D
12 Sep
@ Colorado Springs
1–2
L
9 Sep
vs Louisville City
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs FC Tulsa
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ New Mexico United
2–1
W
23 Aug
vs Oakland Roots
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Tampa Bay Rowdies – last 6
WLWDLW
20 Sep
vs Birmingham Legion
4–0
W
13 Sep
@ Hartford Athletic
1–3
L
6 Sep
vs Brooklyn
2–0
W
29 Aug
@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0–0
D
23 Aug
@ Detroit City
0–1
L
16 Aug
vs Rhode Island
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Antonio and Tampa Bay Rowdies.
What is the prediction for San Antonio vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win San Antonio vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
On our numbers San Antonio have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tampa Bay Rowdies 44%.
How many goals will there be in San Antonio vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Antonio vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Our predicted score is San Antonio 1–1 Tampa Bay Rowdies, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is San Antonio vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
San Antonio vs Tampa Bay Rowdies (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Toyota Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.