Monterey Bay v Lexington: numbers & prediction

Monterey Bay vs Lexington: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Lexington travel to face Monterey Bay on Sunday 27 September in the USL Championship, with Cardinale Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 03:00 WAT. In the table, Monterey Bay are 12th, in the drop zone, on 24 points after 30 matches; Lexington are 4th (among the top four) with 48. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Monterey Bay, last 5: LDDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Charleston Battery, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Lexington, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 6–0 win over Orange County SC, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.

Momentum favours Lexington, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Monterey Bay.

Head to head

When they last met (2 Aug 2026) it ended Lexington 3–2 Monterey Bay. The last 2 head-to-heads: Monterey Bay 0 wins, Lexington 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Monterey Bay 1.0 xG, Lexington 1.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

• 1X2 according to our numbers – Monterey Bay 22%, draw 16%, Lexington 62%.
• GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.60.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Lexington to win (62%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.62, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Monterey Bay 0–1 Lexington. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.