FC Tulsa 56%Draw 24%New Mexico United 20%Expected goals 1.61 – 0.85
80%
Betarazi pick
FC Tulsa or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.29Odds
Picks by market
ResultFC Tulsa to win ✓56% · @1.85
Double chanceFC Tulsa or draw ✓80% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.62
FC Tulsa vs New Mexico United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:00 WAT, Thursday 1 October: FC Tulsa v New Mexico United in the USL Championship, played at ONEOK Field. In the table, FC Tulsa are 7th, lower half, on 43 points after 30 matches; New Mexico United are 1st (leading the league) with 52.
Current form
FC Tulsa, last 5: DDLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with El Paso Locomotive, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
New Mexico United, last 5: LDDDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Sacramento Republic, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours FC Tulsa, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for New Mexico United.
Head to head
When they last met (16 Aug 2026) it ended New Mexico United 1–0 FC Tulsa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Tulsa 1.6 xG, New Mexico United 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Tulsa 56%, draw 24%, New Mexico United 20%.
Lower-risk option: FC Tulsa or draw (80%) at 1.29.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was FC Tulsa or draw (80%, odds 1.29 – longer than our fair 1.26, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Tulsa 1–0 New Mexico United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Tulsa56%fair 1.79 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.50
New Mexico United20%fair 4.91 · @3.50
2.46Expected goals
1.61FC Tulsa xG
0.85New Mexico United xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: FC Tulsa 1.6 – 0.8 New Mexico United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FC Tulsa vs New Mexico United?
Our pick is FC Tulsa or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win FC Tulsa vs New Mexico United?
On our numbers FC Tulsa have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 24% and New Mexico United 20%.
How many goals will there be in FC Tulsa vs New Mexico United?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Tulsa vs New Mexico United?
Our predicted score is FC Tulsa 1–0 New Mexico United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is FC Tulsa vs New Mexico United?
FC Tulsa vs New Mexico United (USL Championship) kicks off on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at ONEOK Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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