Miami FC 63%Draw 19%Sporting JAX 17%Expected goals 2.26 – 1.11
83%
Betarazi pick
Miami FC or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultMiami FC to win ✓63% · @1.60
Double chanceMiami FC or draw ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.26
Miami FC vs Sporting JAX: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Miami FC welcome Sporting JAX to Riccardo Silva Stadium for a USL Championship fixture on Thursday 1 October (00:00 WAT). In the table, Miami FC are 8th, lower half, on 36 points after 30 matches; Sporting JAX are 13th (in the drop zone) with 14. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Miami FC, last 5: WWDDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Indy Eleven, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Sporting JAX, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Loudoun United, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (26 Apr 2026) it ended Sporting JAX 0–1 Miami FC. The last 2 head-to-heads: Miami FC 2 wins, Sporting JAX 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Miami FC 2.3 xG, Sporting JAX 1.1 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Miami FC 63%, draw 19%, Sporting JAX 17%.
Lower-risk option: Miami FC or draw (83%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Miami FC or draw (83%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Miami FC 2–1 Sporting JAX. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Miami FC63%fair 1.58 · @1.60
Draw19%fair 5.14 · @4.00
Sporting JAX17%fair 5.77 · @4.20
3.37Expected goals
2.26Miami FC xG
1.11Sporting JAX xG
66%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Miami FC 2.3 – 1.1 Sporting JAX expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Miami FC vs Sporting JAX?
Our pick is Miami FC or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Miami FC vs Sporting JAX?
On our numbers Miami FC have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Sporting JAX 17%.
How many goals will there be in Miami FC vs Sporting JAX?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Miami FC vs Sporting JAX?
Our predicted score is Miami FC 2–1 Sporting JAX, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Miami FC vs Sporting JAX?
Miami FC vs Sporting JAX (USL Championship) kicks off on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Riccardo Silva Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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