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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Rhode Island v Indy Eleven: numbers & prediction

USL Championship · USA · Centreville Bank Stadium

Rhode Island

LLWDL
1–0
FT

Indy Eleven

LLWDD
Rhode Island 57%Draw 21%Indy Eleven 22% Expected goals 1.76 – 0.99
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultRhode Island to win ✓57% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20

Rhode Island vs Indy Eleven: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Indy Eleven travel to face Rhode Island on Thursday 1 October in the USL Championship, with Centreville Bank Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 00:30 WAT. In the table, Rhode Island are 7th, upper half, on 42 points after 30 matches; Indy Eleven are 9th (lower half) with 34.

Current form

Rhode Island, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Charleston Battery, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Indy Eleven, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Miami FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (31 May 2026) it ended Indy Eleven 1–0 Rhode Island.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Rhode Island 1.8 xG, Indy Eleven 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Rhode Island 57%, draw 21%, Indy Eleven 22%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rhode Island 1–1 Indy Eleven. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Rhode Island57%fair 1.77 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.50
Indy Eleven22%fair 4.54 · @3.50
2.75Expected goals
1.76Rhode Island xG
0.99Indy Eleven xG
62%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
0–16%

From our goals model: Rhode Island 1.8 – 1.0 Indy Eleven expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRhode Island to win ✓57%1.771.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.621.62
Draw no betRhode Island (draw no bet) ✓72%1.39–
Asian handicapIndy Eleven +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77%1.301.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗54%1.851.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.481.44
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.211.17
First team to scoreRhode Island to score first ✓60%1.67–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.46–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rhode Island / FT Rhode Island ✓34%2.91–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.20–

Recent results

Rhode Island – last 6

LLWDLW
27 Sep@ Charleston Battery0–2L
20 Sepvs Miami FC1–2L
13 Sep@ Sporting JAX3–0W
6 Sepvs Louisville City1–1D
30 Aug@ FC Tulsa0–1L
23 Augvs Monterey Bay3–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Indy Eleven – last 6

LLWDDL
27 Sepvs Miami FC0–2L
20 Sepvs Oakland Roots0–1L
16 Sepvs Brooklyn4–0W
12 Sep@ New Mexico United2–2D
6 Sepvs Birmingham Legion2–2D
30 Aug@ Phoenix Rising1–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

31 May 2026Indy Eleven v Rhode Island1–0
Rhode Island vs Indy Eleven head-to-head page →

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay Rowdies301875+2661
2Charleston Battery301659+2153
3Detroit City301497+1351
4Louisville City301389+847
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds3013611+345
6Hartford Athletic3010137+243
7Rhode Island3012612+942
8Miami FC309912-1036
9Indy Eleven309714-634
10Loudoun United3061311-1031
11Birmingham Legion3061212-630
12Brooklyn305619-2921
13Sporting JAX303522-4614

More USL Championship predictions

League hub
FT Brooklyn1 Detroit City3 122%3.25X22%3.30256%1.95 0.9–1.6xG 2Detroit City to win 56%@1.95 ✓
FT Miami FC4 Sporting JAX1 163%1.60X19%4.00217%4.20 2.3–1.1xG 1XMiami FC or draw 83%@1.20 ✓
FT FC Tulsa1 New Mexico United0 156%1.85X24%3.50220%3.50 1.6–0.8xG 1XFC Tulsa or draw 80%@1.29 ✓
FT Sacramento Republic3 Las Vegas Lights2 160%1.50X21%3.90218%5.00 1.7–0.8xG 1Sacramento Republic to win 60%@1.50 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rhode Island vs Indy Eleven?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Rhode Island vs Indy Eleven?

On our numbers Rhode Island have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Indy Eleven 22%.

How many goals will there be in Rhode Island vs Indy Eleven?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rhode Island vs Indy Eleven?

Our predicted score is Rhode Island 1–1 Indy Eleven, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Rhode Island vs Indy Eleven?

Rhode Island vs Indy Eleven (USL Championship) kicks off on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Centreville Bank Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.