Value bet: Cancún to win @ 2.64 – our chance 48% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCancún to win ✗48% · @2.64
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.45
Cancún vs CDS Tampico Madero: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cancún welcome CDS Tampico Madero for a Liga De Expansión MX fixture on Sunday 1 March (02:00 WAT). In the table, Cancún are 5th, upper half, on 25 points after 15 matches; CDS Tampico Madero are 14th (in the drop zone) with 15.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cancún 1.6 xG, CDS Tampico Madero 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cancún 48%, draw 25%, CDS Tampico Madero 26%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: Cancún to win @2.64 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 48%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cancún 1–0 CDS Tampico Madero. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cancún48%fair 2.07 · @2.64
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.00
CDS Tampico Madero26%fair 3.80 · @2.78
2.56Expected goals
1.65Cancún xG
0.91CDS Tampico Madero xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Cancún 1.6 – 0.9 CDS Tampico Madero expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Cancún
CDS Tampico Madero
Attack vs Liga De Expansión MX average
+11%
-23%
Goals conceded vs average
-20%
-3%
Our expected goals here
1.99
0.75
Our own ratings from every Liga De Expansión MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cancún to win✗
48%
2.07
2.64 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.77
Draw no bet
Cancún (draw no bet)✗
65%
1.55
–
Asian handicap
CDS Tampico Madero +1 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.08
First team to score
Cancún to score first
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cancún / FT Cancún✗
34%
2.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.45
–
Recent results
Cancún – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Mineros de Zacatecas
4–1
W
4.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
CDS Tampico Madero
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cancún and CDS Tampico Madero.
What is the prediction for Cancún vs CDS Tampico Madero?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Cancún vs CDS Tampico Madero?
On our numbers Cancún have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 25% and CDS Tampico Madero 26%.
How many goals will there be in Cancún vs CDS Tampico Madero?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cancún vs CDS Tampico Madero?
Our predicted score is Cancún 1–0 CDS Tampico Madero, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Cancún vs CDS Tampico Madero?
Cancún vs CDS Tampico Madero (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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