Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultTapatío to win ✗44% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.05
Tapatío vs Irapuato: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 12 April the Liga De Expansión MX brings Tapatío against Irapuato at Estadio Akron. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT.
Current form
Tapatío, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Tlaxcala, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Irapuato, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over CA La Paz, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tapatío 1.8 xG, Irapuato 1.5 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tapatío 44%, draw 23%, Irapuato 33%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tapatío 1–1 Irapuato. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tapatío44%fair 2.29 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.55
Irapuato33%fair 3.00 · @2.82
3.24Expected goals
1.78Tapatío xG
1.46Irapuato xG
66%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–27%
1–07%
2–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Tapatío 1.8 – 1.5 Irapuato expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Tapatío
Irapuato
Attack vs Liga De Expansión MX average
+4%
+6%
Goals conceded vs average
+20%
+5%
Our expected goals here
2.03
1.55
Our own ratings from every Liga De Expansión MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tapatío to win✗
44%
2.29
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.52
1.57
Draw no bet
Tapatío (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Irapuato +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.15
First team to score
Tapatío to score first✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.65
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tapatío / FT Tapatío✗
28%
3.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.05
–
Recent results
Tapatío – last 6
WLWLLD
8 Apr
vs Tlaxcala
3–0
W
30 Mar
@ Mineros de Zacatecas
1–2
L
23 Mar
vs Monarcas
2–1
W
14 Mar
@ Alebrijes de Oaxaca
3–4
L
7 Mar
vs Cancún
1–2
L
28 Feb
@ Correcaminos Uat
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Irapuato – last 6
WLDLWL
4 Apr
vs CA La Paz
3–1
W
29 Mar
@ Monarcas
0–2
L
22 Mar
vs Cancún
2–2
D
14 Mar
@ Correcaminos Uat
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
6–2
W
26 Feb
vs Atlante FC
0–5
L
2.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tapatío and Irapuato.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Tapatío vs Irapuato?
On our numbers Tapatío have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Irapuato 33%.
How many goals will there be in Tapatío vs Irapuato?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tapatío vs Irapuato?
Our predicted score is Tapatío 1–1 Irapuato, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Tapatío vs Irapuato?
Tapatío vs Irapuato (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Akron.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Atlante FC1