Value bet: Cancún to win @ 3.40 – our chance 39% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +32%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCancún to win ✓39% · @3.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.94
Cancún vs Atlante FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 12 April the Liga De Expansión MX brings Cancún against Atlante FC. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT.
Current form
Cancún, last 5: WDDDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Correcaminos Uat, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Atlante FC, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Mineros de Zacatecas, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cancún 1.5 xG, Atlante FC 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cancún 39%, draw 25%, Atlante FC 36%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Cancún to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cancún 1–1 Atlante FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cancún39%fair 2.58 · @3.40
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.30
Atlante FC36%fair 2.76 · @2.12
2.70Expected goals
1.52Cancún xG
1.19Atlante FC xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Cancún 1.5 – 1.2 Atlante FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Cancún
Atlante FC
Attack vs Liga De Expansión MX average
+11%
+2%
Goals conceded vs average
-20%
-14%
Our expected goals here
1.77
1.01
Our own ratings from every Liga De Expansión MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cancún to win✓
39%
2.58
3.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.75
Draw no bet
Cancún (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Atlante FC +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.09
First team to score
Cancún to score first
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cancún / FT Cancún✓
27%
3.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.94
–
Recent results
Cancún – last 6
WDDDWL
4 Apr
@ Correcaminos Uat
3–1
W
29 Mar
vs Tepatitlán
2–2
D
22 Mar
@ Irapuato
2–2
D
15 Mar
vs CA La Paz
1–1
D
7 Mar
@ Tapatío
2–1
W
1 Mar
vs CDS Tampico Madero
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Atlante FC – last 6
WLWDWD
5 Apr
vs Mineros de Zacatecas
3–1
W
28 Mar
@ Venados FC
1–4
L
22 Mar
vs Dorados
2–0
W
19 Mar
@ Tlaxcala
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Monarcas
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Leones Negros UDG
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cancún and Atlante FC.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Cancún vs Atlante FC?
On our numbers Cancún have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Atlante FC 36%.
How many goals will there be in Cancún vs Atlante FC?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cancún vs Atlante FC?
Our predicted score is Cancún 1–1 Atlante FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Cancún vs Atlante FC?
Cancún vs Atlante FC (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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