Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Ham-Kam to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLillestrom to win ✗40% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.09
Ham-Kam vs Lillestrom: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 25 May the Eliteserien brings Ham-Kam against Lillestrom at Briskeby Arena. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Ham-Kam are 11th, lower half, on 30 points after 26 matches; Lillestrom are 4th (among the top four) with 45. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Ham-Kam, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Valerenga, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Lillestrom, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Kristiansund BK, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Ham-Kam, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Lillestrom.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ham-Kam 1.5 xG, Lillestrom 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 65% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ham-Kam 36%, draw 24%, Lillestrom 40%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Ham-Kam to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ham-Kam 1–1 Lillestrom. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ham-Kam36%fair 2.76 · @3.00
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.60
Lillestrom40%fair 2.52 · @2.15
2.92Expected goals
1.48Ham-Kam xG
1.44Lillestrom xG
65%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%
From our goals model: Ham-Kam 1.5 – 1.4 Lillestrom expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lillestrom to win✗
40%
2.52
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.55
1.53
Draw no bet
Lillestrom (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Lillestrom +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.18
First team to score
Ham-Kam to score first✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ham-Kam / FT Ham-Kam✓
23%
4.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.09
–
Recent results
Ham-Kam – last 6
WWLWWL
8 May
vs Valerenga
1–0
W
19 Apr
vs KFUM Oslo
4–0
W
6 Apr
vs Brann
1–5
L
1 Mar
vs Lyn
4–0
W
25 Feb
@ Haugesund
2–0
W
18 Feb
@ Kristiansund BK
1–2
L
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lillestrom – last 6
LLWDWL
20 May
vs Kristiansund BK
1–2
L
10 May
@ Rosenborg
0–2
L
3 May
vs Sarpsborg 08 FF
4–0
W
15 Apr
@ Tromso
0–0
D
6 Apr
@ Molde
1–0
W
27 Mar
@ Orgryte IS
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ham-Kam and Lillestrom.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Ham-Kam vs Lillestrom?
On our numbers Ham-Kam have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lillestrom 40%.
How many goals will there be in Ham-Kam vs Lillestrom?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ham-Kam vs Lillestrom?
Our predicted score is Ham-Kam 1–1 Lillestrom, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Ham-Kam vs Lillestrom?
Ham-Kam vs Lillestrom (Eliteserien) kicks off on Monday 25 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Briskeby Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
