Value bet: Molde to win @ 2.40 – our chance 47% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMolde to win ✗47% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.85
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Molde: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sarpsborg 08 FF welcome Molde to Sarpsborg Stadion for a Eliteserien fixture on Monday 25 May (16:00 WAT). In the table, Sarpsborg 08 FF are 9th, lower half, on 31 points after 26 matches; Molde are 5th (upper half) with 44. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sarpsborg 08 FF, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Fredrikstad, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Molde, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over BodoGlimt, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sarpsborg 08 FF 1.4 xG, Molde 2.0 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sarpsborg 08 FF 32%, draw 21%, Molde 47%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.42.
Price worth noting: Molde to win @2.40 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 47%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sarpsborg 08 FF 1–1 Molde. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sarpsborg 08 FF32%fair 3.08 · @2.50
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.85
Molde47%fair 2.14 · @2.40
3.41Expected goals
1.45Sarpsborg 08 FF xG
1.97Molde xG
68%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
0–16%
0–26%
From our goals model: Sarpsborg 08 FF 1.4 – 2.0 Molde expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Molde to win✗
47%
2.14
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.46
1.42
Draw no bet
Molde (draw no bet)✗
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Sarpsborg 08 FF +1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
First team to score
Molde to score first
56%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Molde ahead at half-time✗
38%
2.60
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Molde / FT Molde✗
31%
3.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.85
–
Recent results
Sarpsborg 08 FF – last 6
WLLDDW
9 May
vs Fredrikstad
2–1
W
3 May
@ Lillestrom
0–4
L
19 Apr
vs Tromso
0–1
L
15 Apr
vs BodoGlimt
1–1
D
6 Apr
vs Start
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Sandefjord
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Molde – last 5
WWLLD
4 May
@ BodoGlimt
1–0
W
26 Apr
vs Valerenga
5–1
W
6 Apr
vs Lillestrom
0–1
L
5 Mar
vs BodoGlimt
1–2
L
17 Feb
vs Viking
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sarpsborg 08 FF and Molde.
What is the prediction for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Molde?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Molde?
On our numbers Sarpsborg 08 FF have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Molde 47%.
How many goals will there be in Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Molde?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Molde?
Our predicted score is Sarpsborg 08 FF 1–1 Molde, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Molde?
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Molde (Eliteserien) kicks off on Monday 25 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Sarpsborg Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
