Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultTromso to win ✗60% · @1.44
Double chanceTromso or draw ✓80% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.58
Tromso vs Aalesund: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Monday 25 May: Tromso v Aalesund in the Eliteserien, played at Alfheim. In the table, Tromso are 6th, upper half, on 40 points after 26 matches; Aalesund are 15th (in the drop zone) with 24. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Tromso, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Brann, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Aalesund, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Brann, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Tromso, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Aalesund.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tromso 2.1 xG, Aalesund 1.4 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tromso 60%, draw 21%, Aalesund 20%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tromso 2–1 Aalesund. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tromso60%fair 1.68 · @1.44
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @4.50
Aalesund20%fair 5.12 · @6.80
3.43Expected goals
2.07Tromso xG
1.35Aalesund xG
61%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–19%
2–07%
1–07%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Tromso 2.1 – 1.4 Aalesund expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tromso to win✗
60%
1.68
1.44
Double chance
Tromso or draw✓
80%
1.24
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.67
Draw no bet
Tromso (draw no bet)
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Aalesund +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.57
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
First team to score
Tromso to score first✓
59%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Tromso ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tromso / FT Tromso✗
34%
2.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.58
–
Recent results
Tromso – last 6
LWDWWW
29 Apr
vs Brann
0–5
L
19 Apr
@ Sarpsborg 08 FF
1–0
W
15 Apr
vs Lillestrom
0–0
D
6 Apr
vs Rosenborg
2–0
W
22 Mar
@ Brann
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs Fredrikstad
4–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Aalesund – last 6
WLLWLW
20 May
vs Brann
2–1
W
22 Apr
@ Brann
1–2
L
7 Apr
vs Fredrikstad
2–3
L
18 Mar
@ Viking
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs Lillestrom
1–3
L
9 Mar
@ Egersund
3–2
W
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tromso and Aalesund.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Tromso vs Aalesund?
On our numbers Tromso have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Aalesund 20%.
How many goals will there be in Tromso vs Aalesund?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tromso vs Aalesund?
Our predicted score is Tromso 2–1 Aalesund, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Tromso vs Aalesund?
Tromso vs Aalesund (Eliteserien) kicks off on Monday 25 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Alfheim.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
