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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Start v Valerenga: numbers & prediction

Eliteserien · Norway · Sparebanken Sør Arena

Start

LLDLL
2–0
FT
Start 30%Draw 22%Valerenga 47% Expected goals 1.42 – 1.89
66%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.48Odds

Picks by market

ResultValerenga to win ✗47% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.80

Start vs Valerenga: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Monday 25 May the Eliteserien brings Start against Valerenga at Sparebanken Sør Arena. Kick-off: 13:30 WAT. In the table, Start are 16th, in the drop zone, on 19 points after 26 matches; Valerenga are 8th (upper half) with 32. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Start, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to BodoGlimt, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Valerenga, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Ham-Kam, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Valerenga, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.2 for Start.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Start 1.4 xG, Valerenga 1.9 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 66% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Start 30%, draw 22%, Valerenga 47%.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.48.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Start 1–1 Valerenga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Start30%fair 3.30 · @2.90
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.70
Valerenga47%fair 2.12 · @2.20
3.31Expected goals
1.42Start xG
1.89Valerenga xG
66%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–29%
2–17%
0–17%
2–27%
0–27%

From our goals model: Start 1.4 – 1.9 Valerenga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultValerenga to win ✗47%2.122.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗66%1.531.48
Draw no betValerenga (draw no bet) ✗61%1.64–
Asian handicapStart +1 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.221.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗62%1.611.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓59%1.691.55
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.301.20
First team to scoreValerenga to score first ✗55%1.82–
Half-time resultValerenga ahead at half-time ✗38%2.66–
Half-time / full-timeHT Valerenga / FT Valerenga ✗30%3.34–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.80–

Recent results

Start – last 6

LLDLLL
20 Mayvs BodoGlimt1–4L
30 Apr@ BodoGlimt0–5L
6 Apr@ Sarpsborg 08 FF1–1D
15 Mar@ KFUM Oslo0–2L
8 Mar@ Sandefjord2–3L
24 Feb@ Rosenborg1–2L
0.8Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Valerenga – last 6

LLLDWW
8 May@ Ham-Kam0–1L
26 Apr@ Molde1–5L
6 Aprvs Viking0–1L
27 Marvs IFK Goteborg3–3D
22 Mar@ Rosenborg2–0W
15 Marvs Sandefjord1–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Start and Valerenga.

Start vs Valerenga head-to-head page →

Eliteserien table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Viking262024+4262
2Bodo/Glimt262024+4062
3Rosenborg261448+2146
4Lillestrom261439+445
5Molde261358+2044
6Tromso261178+340
7Brann2610313+333
8Valerenga269512-432
9Sarpsborg 08 FF268711-1031
10KFUM Oslo268711-1331
11Ham-Kam268612-1530
12Fredrikstad268612-1530
13Sandefjord267712-828
14Kristiansund BK267514-2126
15Aalesund265912-1524
16Start265417-3219

More Eliteserien predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Start vs Valerenga?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Start vs Valerenga?

On our numbers Start have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Valerenga 47%.

How many goals will there be in Start vs Valerenga?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Start vs Valerenga?

Our predicted score is Start 1–1 Valerenga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Start vs Valerenga?

Start vs Valerenga (Eliteserien) kicks off on Monday 25 May 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Sparebanken Sør Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.