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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bokelj v Mornar: numbers & prediction

First League · Montenegro · Stadion pod Vrmcem
1–2
FT

Mornar

WDLD
Bokelj 25%Draw 30%Mornar 45% Expected goals 0.90 – 1.31
75%
Betarazi pick

Mornar or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultMornar to win ✓45% · @2.10
Double chanceMornar or draw ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 11.83

Bokelj vs Mornar: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Bokelj welcome Mornar to Stadion pod Vrmcem for a First League fixture on Wednesday 11 March (14:30 WAT). In the table, Bokelj are 6th, lower half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Mornar are 3rd (among the top four) with 24.

Current form

Bokelj, last 3: LDD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Jedinstvo, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Mornar, last 4: WDLD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Mladost DG, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Mornar, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Bokelj.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bokelj 0.9 xG, Mornar 1.3 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bokelj 25%, draw 30%, Mornar 45%.
  • Lower-risk option: Mornar or draw (75%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Mornar or draw (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bokelj 0–1 Mornar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bokelj25%fair 3.94 · @3.30
Draw30%fair 3.39 · @2.75
Mornar45%fair 2.22 · @2.10
2.21Expected goals
0.90Bokelj xG
1.31Mornar xG
52%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–010%
0–29%
1–28%

From our goals model: Bokelj 0.9 – 1.3 Mornar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMornar to win ✓45%2.222.10
Double chanceMornar or draw ✓75%1.341.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.921.95
Draw no betMornar (draw no bet) ✓64%1.56–
Asian handicapBokelj +1 (Asian handicap)72%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
First team to scoreMornar to score first ✓53%1.90–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT Mornar / FT Mornar ✓27%3.74–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8%11.83–

Recent results

Bokelj – last 3

LDD
1 Marvs Jedinstvo1–4L
25 Feb@ Jezero1–1D
21 Febvs Mladost DG0–0D
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Mornar – last 4

WDLD
1 Marvs Mladost DG3–0W
25 Feb@ Dečić0–0D
21 Febvs Arsenal Tivat1–2L
14 Feb@ Sutjeska2–2D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Bokelj and Mornar.

Bokelj vs Mornar head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Otrant-Olympic15834+927
2Buducnost Podgorica15744+425
3Mornar15663+624
4Sutjeska15654+623
5Dečić14635+321
6Bokelj14545-119
7Petrovac14464+218
8Jezero15465-518
9Mladost DG15339-1412
10Arsenal Tivat14167-109

More First League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bokelj vs Mornar?

Our pick is Mornar or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Bokelj vs Mornar?

On our numbers Bokelj have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Mornar 45%.

How many goals will there be in Bokelj vs Mornar?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bokelj vs Mornar?

Our predicted score is Bokelj 0–1 Mornar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Bokelj vs Mornar?

Bokelj vs Mornar (First League) kicks off on Wednesday 11 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion pod Vrmcem.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.