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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Jezero v Dečić: numbers & prediction

First League · Montenegro · Stadion Pod Racinom
1–2
FT
Jezero 38%Draw 30%Dečić 32% Expected goals 1.22 – 1.07
53%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.90 · bookmaker 2.00 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
2.00Odds

Picks by market

ResultJezero to win ✗38% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓70% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.37

Jezero vs Dečić: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Jezero welcome Dečić to Stadion Pod Racinom for a First League fixture on Wednesday 11 March (14:00 WAT). In the table, Jezero are 8th, in the drop zone, on 18 points after 15 matches; Dečić are 5th (upper half) with 21. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Jezero, last 3: DDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sutjeska, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Dečić, last 3: DDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Buducnost Podgorica, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Dečić, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Jezero.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Jezero 1.2 xG, Dečić 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Jezero 38%, draw 30%, Dečić 32%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.90, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jezero 1–1 Dečić. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Jezero38%fair 2.63 · @2.50
Draw30%fair 3.38 · @2.70
Dečić32%fair 3.09 · @2.75
2.29Expected goals
1.22Jezero xG
1.07Dečić xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: Jezero 1.2 – 1.1 Dečić expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJezero to win ✗38%2.632.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓70%1.421.40
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.902.00 ▲
Draw no betJezero (draw no bet) ✗54%1.85–
Asian handicapDečić +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗60%1.67–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreJezero to score first ✗48%2.08–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Jezero / FT Jezero ✗23%4.40–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.37–

Recent results

Jezero – last 3

DDL
1 Marvs Sutjeska1–1D
25 Febvs Bokelj1–1D
21 Feb@ Petrovac1–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Dečić – last 3

DDW
1 Mar@ Buducnost Podgorica0–0D
25 Febvs Mornar0–0D
21 Feb@ Jedinstvo2–1W
0.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Jezero and Dečić.

Jezero vs Dečić head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Otrant-Olympic15834+927
2Buducnost Podgorica15744+425
3Mornar15663+624
4Sutjeska15654+623
5Dečić14635+321
6Bokelj14545-119
7Petrovac14464+218
8Jezero15465-518
9Mladost DG15339-1412
10Arsenal Tivat14167-109

More First League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Jezero vs Dečić?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.

Who will win Jezero vs Dečić?

On our numbers Jezero have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Dečić 32%.

How many goals will there be in Jezero vs Dečić?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Jezero vs Dečić?

Our predicted score is Jezero 1–1 Dečić, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Jezero vs Dečić?

Jezero vs Dečić (First League) kicks off on Wednesday 11 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Pod Racinom.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.