Sutjeska vs Arsenal Tivat: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 11 March the First League brings Sutjeska against Arsenal Tivat at Stadion Gradski. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Sutjeska are 4th, among the top four, on 23 points after 15 matches; Arsenal Tivat are 10th (in the drop zone) with 9. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sutjeska, last 4: DWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Jezero, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Arsenal Tivat, last 3: LWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Petrovac, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Arsenal Tivat, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Sutjeska.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sutjeska 1.6 xG, Arsenal Tivat 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sutjeska 56%, draw 25%, Arsenal Tivat 19%.
Lower-risk option: Sutjeska or draw (81%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sutjeska to win (56%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sutjeska 1–0 Arsenal Tivat. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sutjeska56%fair 1.79 · @1.62
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.30
Arsenal Tivat19%fair 5.21 · @4.80
2.36Expected goals
1.56Sutjeska xG
0.79Arsenal Tivat xG
51%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–112%
2–012%
0–09%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Sutjeska 1.6 – 0.8 Arsenal Tivat expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sutjeska to win✓
56%
1.79
1.62
Double chance
Sutjeska or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
2.00
Draw no bet
Sutjeska (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Arsenal Tivat +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Sutjeska to score first✓
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sutjeska / FT Sutjeska✓
34%
2.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.89
–
Recent results
Sutjeska – last 4
DWLD
1 Mar
@ Jezero
1–1
D
25 Feb
vs Petrovac
2–1
W
21 Feb
@ Buducnost Podgorica
1–2
L
14 Feb
vs Mornar
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Arsenal Tivat – last 3
LWW
1 Mar
@ Petrovac
0–1
L
25 Feb
vs Buducnost Podgorica
1–0
W
21 Feb
@ Mornar
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sutjeska and Arsenal Tivat.
What is the prediction for Sutjeska vs Arsenal Tivat?
Our pick is Sutjeska to win with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Sutjeska vs Arsenal Tivat?
On our numbers Sutjeska have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Arsenal Tivat 19%.
How many goals will there be in Sutjeska vs Arsenal Tivat?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sutjeska vs Arsenal Tivat?
Our predicted score is Sutjeska 1–0 Arsenal Tivat, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Sutjeska vs Arsenal Tivat?
Sutjeska vs Arsenal Tivat (First League) kicks off on Wednesday 11 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Gradski.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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