Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · @1.42
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 4.89
Almirante Brown vs Defensores De Belgrano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:30 WAT, Sunday 5 April: Almirante Brown v Defensores De Belgrano in the Primera Nacional, played at Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento. In the table, Almirante Brown are 6th, upper half, on 51 points after 36 matches; Defensores De Belgrano are 15th (lower half) with 39. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Almirante Brown, last 4: LWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Racing Cordoba, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Almirante Brown 1.1 xG, Defensores De Belgrano 0.6 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 75% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Almirante Brown 43%, draw 31%, Defensores De Belgrano 26%.
Lower-risk option: Almirante Brown or draw (74%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: NG (58%) at 1.42.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Almirante Brown 1–0 Defensores De Belgrano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Almirante Brown43%fair 2.33 · @2.40
Draw31%fair 3.19 · @2.55
Defensores De Belgrano26%fair 3.89 · @3.45
1.66Expected goals
1.07Almirante Brown xG
0.59Defensores De Belgrano xG
42%Both score
25%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–020%
0–019%
1–112%
0–111%
2–011%
2–16%
From our goals model: Almirante Brown 1.1 – 0.6 Defensores De Belgrano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Almirante Brown
Defensores De Belgrano
Attack vs Primera Nacional average
-1%
-29%
Goals conceded vs average
-13%
+5%
Our expected goals here
1.28
0.48
Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Almirante Brown to win✗
43%
2.33
2.40
Double chance
Almirante Brown or draw✗
74%
1.35
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.42
Draw no bet
Almirante Brown (draw no bet)✗
63%
1.60
–
Asian handicap
Defensores De Belgrano +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.83
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
Almirante Brown to score first✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
54%
1.84
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Almirante Brown / FT Almirante Brown✗
27%
3.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
4.89
–
Recent results
Almirante Brown – last 4
LWWD
14 Mar
@ Racing Cordoba
1–2
L
2 Mar
@ CA Estudiantes
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs All Boys
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Los Andes
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Defensores De Belgrano – last 2
DD
30 Mar
vs Atletico DE Rafaela
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Godoy Cruz
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Almirante Brown and Defensores De Belgrano.
What is the prediction for Almirante Brown vs Defensores De Belgrano?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Almirante Brown vs Defensores De Belgrano?
On our numbers Almirante Brown have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Defensores De Belgrano 26%.
How many goals will there be in Almirante Brown vs Defensores De Belgrano?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 25% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Almirante Brown vs Defensores De Belgrano?
Our predicted score is Almirante Brown 1–0 Defensores De Belgrano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Almirante Brown vs Defensores De Belgrano?
Almirante Brown vs Defensores De Belgrano (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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