Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.45 – our chance 51% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultGimnasia Jujuy to win55% · @1.67
Double chanceGimnasia Jujuy or draw82% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @2.45
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.97
Gimnasia Jujuy vs Patronato: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Patronato travel to face Gimnasia Jujuy on Sunday 5 April in the Primera Nacional, with Estadio 23 de Agosto the venue – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT. In the table, Gimnasia Jujuy are 4th, among the top four, on 58 points after 36 matches; Patronato are 16th (in the drop zone) with 38. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Gimnasia Jujuy, last 4: WLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Chaco For Ever, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Patronato, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Colon Santa Fe, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Gimnasia Jujuy, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.4 for Patronato.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gimnasia Jujuy 1.5 xG, Patronato 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gimnasia Jujuy 55%, draw 27%, Patronato 18%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.45.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gimnasia Jujuy 1–1 Patronato. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gimnasia Jujuy55%fair 1.81 · @1.67
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @3.00
Patronato18%fair 5.56 · @6.00
2.33Expected goals
1.52Gimnasia Jujuy xG
0.81Patronato xG
51%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–112%
2–011%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Gimnasia Jujuy 1.5 – 0.8 Patronato expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Gimnasia Jujuy
Patronato
Attack vs Primera Nacional average
+33%
-15%
Goals conceded vs average
+47%
+0%
Our expected goals here
1.64
0.97
Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gimnasia Jujuy to win
55%
1.81
1.67
Double chance
Gimnasia Jujuy or draw
82%
1.22
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.98
2.45 ▲
Draw no bet
Gimnasia Jujuy (draw no bet)
75%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Patronato +1 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
64%
1.57
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
62%
1.60
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Gimnasia Jujuy to score first
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gimnasia Jujuy / FT Gimnasia Jujuy
33%
3.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.97
–
Recent results
Gimnasia Jujuy – last 4
WLLW
28 Mar
@ Chaco For Ever
2–1
W
21 Mar
@ Tristan Suarez
0–3
L
22 Feb
@ Chacarita Juniors
1–3
L
16 Feb
vs Midland
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Patronato – last 5
LLDLD
29 Mar
vs Colon Santa Fe
0–2
L
15 Mar
@ Quilmes
0–3
L
3 Mar
@ Atlanta
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Gimnasia Y Tiro
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ San Martin Tucuman
0–0
D
0.2Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gimnasia Jujuy and Patronato.
What is the prediction for Gimnasia Jujuy vs Patronato?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Gimnasia Jujuy vs Patronato?
On our numbers Gimnasia Jujuy have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Patronato 18%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnasia Jujuy vs Patronato?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimnasia Jujuy vs Patronato?
Our predicted score is Gimnasia Jujuy 1–1 Patronato, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Gimnasia Jujuy vs Patronato?
Gimnasia Jujuy vs Patronato (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 23 de Agosto.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Los Andes2
Chaco For Ever0
Almirante Brown0
Defensores De Belgrano2
Deportivo Moron1
San Telmo0
Racing Cordoba0
Ciudad de Bolívar1
Atletico Mitre
Deportivo Madryn