Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13% · fair 7.56
Deportivo Moron vs San Telmo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Deportivo Moron welcome San Telmo to Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano for a Primera Nacional fixture on Sunday 5 April (19:30 WAT). In the table, Deportivo Moron are 3rd, among the top four, on 61 points after 36 matches; San Telmo are 12th (lower half) with 41. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Moron 1.9 xG, San Telmo 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Moron 62%, draw 24%, San Telmo 14%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (69%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Moron 2–0 San Telmo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo Moron62%fair 1.62 · @1.60
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.20
San Telmo14%fair 7.02 · @6.20
2.64Expected goals
1.86Deportivo Moron xG
0.78San Telmo xG
49%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Deportivo Moron 1.9 – 0.8 San Telmo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Deportivo Moron
San Telmo
Attack vs Primera Nacional average
+29%
-10%
Goals conceded vs average
+12%
+19%
Our expected goals here
1.88
0.79
Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Moron to win✓
62%
1.62
1.60
Double chance
Deportivo Moron or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.06
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.50
Draw no bet
Deportivo Moron (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Deportivo Moron -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Deportivo Moron to score first✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Deportivo Moron ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Moron / FT Deportivo Moron✗
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
13%
7.56
–
Recent results
Deportivo Moron – last 1
W
26 Feb
@ Godoy Cruz
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
San Telmo – last 2
LD
29 Mar
vs Quilmes
0–3
L
22 Feb
@ Chaco For Ever
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Moron and San Telmo.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Moron vs San Telmo?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Deportivo Moron vs San Telmo?
On our numbers Deportivo Moron have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and San Telmo 14%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Moron vs San Telmo?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Moron vs San Telmo?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Moron 2–0 San Telmo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Moron vs San Telmo?
Deportivo Moron vs San Telmo (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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