Value bet: Deportivo Madryn to win @ 3.45 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultAtletico Mitre to win36% · @2.33
Double chanceEither team to win69% · @1.38
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score53% · @1.40
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–014% · fair 7.28
Atletico Mitre vs Deportivo Madryn: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 5 April the Primera Nacional brings Atletico Mitre against Deportivo Madryn at Estadio Aurinegro. Kick-off: 23:00 WAT. In the table, Atletico Mitre are 13th, lower half, on 40 points after 36 matches; Deportivo Madryn are 4th (among the top four) with 60. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Deportivo Madryn, last 3: DLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with San Martin Tucuman, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Mitre 0.9 xG, Deportivo Madryn 1.0 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 73%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Mitre 36%, draw 31%, Deportivo Madryn 33%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.40.
Price worth noting: Deportivo Madryn to win @3.45 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (73%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Mitre 0–0 Deportivo Madryn. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico Mitre36%fair 2.76 · @2.33
Draw31%fair 3.24 · @2.62
Deportivo Madryn33%fair 3.03 · @3.45
1.85Expected goals
0.88Atletico Mitre xG
0.98Deportivo Madryn xG
47%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–016%
0–115%
1–014%
1–113%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Atletico Mitre 0.9 – 1.0 Deportivo Madryn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Atletico Mitre
Deportivo Madryn
Attack vs Primera Nacional average
-19%
+35%
Goals conceded vs average
+13%
-18%
Our expected goals here
0.82
1.19
Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Mitre to win
36%
2.76
2.33
Double chance
Either team to win
69%
1.45
1.38
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
53%
1.89
1.40
Draw no bet
Atletico Mitre (draw no bet)
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Atletico Mitre +0.5 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
53%
1.88
1.83
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
73%
1.37
1.25
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
88%
1.13
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Deportivo Madryn to score first
44%
2.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
14%
7.28
–
Recent results
Atletico Mitre – last 2
DW
29 Mar
@ Club Atlético Güemes
2–2
D
23 Feb
vs CA Estudiantes
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Deportivo Madryn – last 3
DLL
29 Mar
vs San Martin Tucuman
1–1
D
25 Feb
@ San Martin S.J.
0–2
L
15 Feb
@ Colon Santa Fe
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Mitre and Deportivo Madryn.
What is the prediction for Atletico Mitre vs Deportivo Madryn?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Atletico Mitre vs Deportivo Madryn?
On our numbers Atletico Mitre have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Deportivo Madryn 33%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Mitre vs Deportivo Madryn?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Mitre vs Deportivo Madryn?
Our predicted score is Atletico Mitre 0–0 Deportivo Madryn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Atletico Mitre vs Deportivo Madryn?
Atletico Mitre vs Deportivo Madryn (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Aurinegro.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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