Value bet: Almagro to win @ 2.40 – our chance 49% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAlmagro to win ✓49% · @2.40
Double chanceAlmagro or draw ✓75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.30
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.43
Almagro vs Club Atlético Güemes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Club Atlético Güemes travel to face Almagro on Sunday 31 May in the Primera Nacional, with Estadio Tres de Febrero the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, Almagro are 15th, lower half, on 42 points after 36 matches; Club Atlético Güemes are 18th (in the drop zone) with 27. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Almagro, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Chacarita Juniors, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Club Atlético Güemes, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Patronato, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Almagro 1.7 xG, Club Atlético Güemes 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Almagro 49%, draw 27%, Club Atlético Güemes 25%.
Lower-risk option: Almagro or draw (75%) at 1.33.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.30.
Price worth noting: Almagro to win @2.40 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 49%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Almagro or draw (75%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Almagro 1–0 Club Atlético Güemes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Almagro49%fair 2.05 · @2.40
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @2.70
Club Atlético Güemes25%fair 4.05 · @3.25
2.55Expected goals
1.67Almagro xG
0.88Club Atlético Güemes xG
51%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Almagro 1.7 – 0.9 Club Atlético Güemes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Almagro
Club Atlético Güemes
Attack vs Primera Nacional average
+5%
-23%
Goals conceded vs average
+23%
+58%
Our expected goals here
2.05
0.73
Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Almagro to win✓
49%
2.05
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Almagro or draw✓
75%
1.33
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
2.30 ▲
Draw no bet
Almagro (draw no bet)✓
66%
1.51
–
Asian handicap
Club Atlético Güemes +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Almagro to score first✓
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Almagro / FT Almagro✗
34%
2.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.43
–
Recent results
Almagro – last 6
LLWDLD
24 May
@ Chacarita Juniors
0–1
L
17 May
vs San Martin S.J.
1–2
L
11 May
@ Nueva Chicago
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Midland
1–1
D
28 Feb
@ Gimnasia Y Tiro
0–2
L
14 Feb
@ Atletico DE Rafaela
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Club Atlético Güemes – last 6
WDWDLL
24 May
vs Patronato
1–0
W
20 Apr
@ Gimnasia Y Tiro
1–1
D
6 Apr
@ Atletico DE Rafaela
2–1
W
29 Mar
vs Atletico Mitre
2–2
D
22 Feb
@ San Martin S.J.
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Nueva Chicago
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Almagro and Club Atlético Güemes.
What is the prediction for Almagro vs Club Atlético Güemes?
Our pick is Almagro or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Almagro vs Club Atlético Güemes?
On our numbers Almagro have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Club Atlético Güemes 25%.
How many goals will there be in Almagro vs Club Atlético Güemes?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Almagro vs Club Atlético Güemes?
Our predicted score is Almagro 1–0 Club Atlético Güemes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Almagro vs Club Atlético Güemes?
Almagro vs Club Atlético Güemes (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Tres de Febrero.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Deportivo Madryn0
Acassuso0
Atletico Mitre1
Deportivo Moron3
Central Norte1
Chaco For Ever1