Value bet: Midland to win @ 2.30 – our chance 49% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMidland to win ✓49% · @2.30
Double chanceMidland or draw ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.32
Midland vs San Martin Tucuman: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 31 May the Primera Nacional brings Midland against San Martin Tucuman at Raul Roberto Sabureau Stadium. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Midland are 5th, upper half, on 55 points after 36 matches; San Martin Tucuman are 10th (lower half) with 47.
Current form
Midland, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Agropecuario, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
San Martin Tucuman, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Atlanta, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Midland, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for San Martin Tucuman.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Midland 1.4 xG, San Martin Tucuman 0.8 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Midland 49%, draw 28%, San Martin Tucuman 23%.
Lower-risk option: Midland or draw (77%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Midland to win @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 49%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Midland or draw (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Midland 1–0 San Martin Tucuman. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Midland49%fair 2.06 · @2.30
Draw28%fair 3.53 · @2.62
San Martin Tucuman23%fair 4.32 · @3.60
2.19Expected goals
1.42Midland xG
0.78San Martin Tucuman xG
47%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
1–112%
2–011%
0–011%
2–19%
0–19%
From our goals model: Midland 1.4 – 0.8 San Martin Tucuman expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Midland
San Martin Tucuman
Attack vs Primera Nacional average
+28%
+14%
Goals conceded vs average
-12%
+11%
Our expected goals here
1.75
0.78
Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Midland to win✓
49%
2.06
2.30 ▲
Double chance
Midland or draw✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.50
Draw no bet
Midland (draw no bet)✓
68%
1.48
–
Asian handicap
San Martin Tucuman +1 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Midland to score first✓
57%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Midland / FT Midland✓
31%
3.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.32
–
Recent results
Midland – last 6
WWDWDD
17 May
vs Agropecuario
2–0
W
23 Apr
@ Deportivo Moron
2–1
W
13 Apr
@ Nueva Chicago
2–2
D
9 Apr
vs Acassuso
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Almagro
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Quilmes
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
San Martin Tucuman – last 6
LLWWDD
24 May
vs Atlanta
0–1
L
17 May
@ Gimnasia Y Tiro
0–1
L
13 May
vs Gimnasia Jujuy
2–0
W
3 May
vs Atletico DE Rafaela
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs Tristan Suarez
0–0
D
29 Mar
@ Deportivo Madryn
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Midland and San Martin Tucuman.
What is the prediction for Midland vs San Martin Tucuman?
Our pick is Midland or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Midland vs San Martin Tucuman?
On our numbers Midland have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 28% and San Martin Tucuman 23%.
How many goals will there be in Midland vs San Martin Tucuman?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Midland vs San Martin Tucuman?
Our predicted score is Midland 1–0 San Martin Tucuman, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Midland vs San Martin Tucuman?
Midland vs San Martin Tucuman (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Raul Roberto Sabureau Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Deportivo Madryn0
Acassuso0
Atletico Mitre1
Deportivo Moron3
Central Norte1
Chaco For Ever1