Atletico Mitre v Deportivo Moron Prediction & Expected Goals (31 May) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultAtletico Mitre to win ✗35% · @2.80

Double chanceEither team to win ✓68% · @1.44

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.50

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.16

Atletico Mitre vs Deportivo Moron: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 31 May the Primera Nacional brings Atletico Mitre against Deportivo Moron at Estadio Aurinegro. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Atletico Mitre are 13th, lower half, on 40 points after 36 matches; Deportivo Moron are 3rd (among the top four) with 61. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Atletico Mitre, last 4: DWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Colon Santa Fe, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Deportivo Moron, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over CA Estudiantes, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.6 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Mitre 1.1 xG, Deportivo Moron 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Mitre 35%, draw 32%, Deportivo Moron 33%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (51%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Mitre 1–0 Deportivo Moron. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atletico Mitre35%fair 2.88 · @2.80

Draw32%fair 3.15 · @2.45

Deportivo Moron33%fair 2.99 · @3.10

2.20Expected goals

1.10Atletico Mitre xG

1.09Deportivo Moron xG

49%Both score

38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

1–012%

0–112%

0–011%

2–17%

1–27%

From our goals model: Atletico Mitre 1.1 – 1.1 Deportivo Moron expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Atletico Mitre	Deportivo Moron
Attack vs Primera Nacional average	-19%	+29%
Goals conceded vs average	+13%	+12%
Our expected goals here	1.12	1.14

Atletico Mitre

Deportivo Moron

Attack vs Primera Nacional average

-19%

+29%

Goals conceded vs average

+13%

+12%

Our expected goals here

1.12

1.14

Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Atletico Mitre to win ✗	35%	2.88	2.80
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	68%	1.47	1.44
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✗	51%	1.96	1.50
Draw no bet	Atletico Mitre (draw no bet) ✗	51%	1.96	–
Asian handicap	Deportivo Moron +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	64%	1.55	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	64%	1.55	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	62%	1.60	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	82%	1.22	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	93%	1.08	–
First team to score	Atletico Mitre to score first ✗	45%	2.24	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	47%	2.11	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Atletico Mitre / FT Atletico Mitre ✗	20%	5.01	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	12%	8.16	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Atletico Mitre to win ✗

35%

2.88

2.80

Double chance

Either team to win ✓

68%

1.47

1.44

Both teams to score

Not both teams to score ✗

51%

1.96

1.50

Draw no bet

Atletico Mitre (draw no bet) ✗

51%

1.96

–

Asian handicap

Deportivo Moron +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓

64%

1.55

–

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals ✓

64%

1.55

–

Over/under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals ✗

62%

1.60

–

Over/under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals ✗

82%

1.22

–

Over/under 4.5 goals

Under 4.5 goals ✓

93%

1.08

–

First team to score

Atletico Mitre to score first ✗

45%

2.24

–

Half-time result

Level at half-time ✗

47%

2.11

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Atletico Mitre / FT Atletico Mitre ✗

20%

5.01

–

Correct score

Correct score 1–0 ✗

12%

8.16

–

Recent results

Head to head

Primera Nacional table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Godoy Cruz	36	19	9	8	+20	66
2	Ferro Carril Oeste	36	19	9	8	+7	66
3	Deportivo Moron	36	18	7	11	+16	61
4	Deportivo Madryn	36	16	12	8	+21	60
5	Colon Santa Fe	36	16	12	8	+18	60
6	Almirante Brown	36	13	12	11	+4	51
7	Ciudad de Bolívar	36	13	12	11	-3	51
8	CA Estudiantes	36	13	10	13	0	49
9	Chaco For Ever	36	12	10	14	+2	46
10	Los Andes	36	9	16	11	+1	43
11	All Boys	36	8	17	11	-8	41
12	San Telmo	36	10	11	15	-11	41
13	Atletico Mitre	36	8	16	12	-11	40
14	Racing Cordoba	36	10	10	16	-13	40
15	Defensores De Belgrano	36	8	15	13	-9	39
16	Central Norte	36	7	17	12	-9	38
17	Acassuso	36	8	11	17	-10	35
18	San Miguel	36	6	15	15	-15	33

Team

Pts

+20

+16

+21

+18

-3

-8

-11

-11

-13

Defensores De Belgrano

-9

Central Norte

-9

Acassuso

-10

San Miguel

-15

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atletico Mitre vs Deportivo Moron?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Atletico Mitre vs Deportivo Moron?

On our numbers Atletico Mitre have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Deportivo Moron 33%.

How many goals will there be in Atletico Mitre vs Deportivo Moron?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atletico Mitre vs Deportivo Moron?

Our predicted score is Atletico Mitre 1–0 Deportivo Moron, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Atletico Mitre vs Deportivo Moron?

Atletico Mitre vs Deportivo Moron (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Aurinegro.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

24 May	@ Colon Santa Fe	1–1	D
17 May	vs San Miguel	4–0	W
29 Mar	@ Club Atlético Güemes	2–2	D
23 Feb	vs CA Estudiantes	1–0	W

24 May	vs CA Estudiantes	2–0	W
19 May	@ All Boys	0–1	L
23 Apr	vs Midland	1–2	L
5 Apr	vs San Telmo	1–0	W
26 Feb	@ Godoy Cruz	1–0	W

Atletico Mitre v Deportivo Moron: numbers & prediction

Atletico Mitre

Deportivo Moron

Not both teams to score

Picks by market

Atletico Mitre vs Deportivo Moron: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Current form

Where the goals come from

Markets worth a look

Our call before kick-off

Result chances

Score grid: top six

Team ratings (Betarazi)

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Recent results

Atletico Mitre – last 4

Deportivo Moron – last 5

Head to head

Primera Nacional table

More Primera Nacional predictions

Frequently asked questions