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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Almagro v Agropecuario: numbers & prediction

Primera Nacional · Argentina · Estadio Tres de Febrero

Almagro

DWLLW
2–1
FT
Almagro 41%Draw 29%Agropecuario 30% Expected goals 1.17 – 0.88
66%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.40Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultAlmagro to win ✓41% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 12.91

Almagro vs Agropecuario: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Agropecuario travel to face Almagro on Saturday 13 June in the Primera Nacional, with Estadio Tres de Febrero the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, Almagro are 15th, lower half, on 42 points after 36 matches; Agropecuario are 12th (lower half) with 46.

Current form

Almagro, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Tristan Suarez, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Agropecuario, last 5: DDDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Patronato, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Almagro 1.2 xG, Agropecuario 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Almagro 41%, draw 29%, Agropecuario 30%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.15.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Almagro 1–0 Agropecuario. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Almagro41%fair 2.43 · @2.45
Draw29%fair 3.44 · @2.80
Agropecuario30%fair 3.36 · @3.00
2.05Expected goals
1.17Almagro xG
0.88Agropecuario xG
51%Both score
34%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
1–113%
0–013%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Almagro 1.2 – 0.9 Agropecuario expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

AlmagroAgropecuario
Attack vs Primera Nacional average+5%-9%
Goals conceded vs average+23%+0%
Our expected goals here1.290.88

Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlmagro to win ✓41%2.432.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71%1.411.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.972.15 ▲
Draw no betAlmagro (draw no bet) ✓58%1.72–
Asian handicapAgropecuario +1 (Asian handicap)76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓60%1.671.57
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗66%1.511.40
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.06–
First team to scoreAlmagro to score first50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓49%2.04–
Half-time / full-timeHT Almagro / FT Almagro ✗24%4.13–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8%12.91–

Recent results

Almagro – last 6

DWLLWD
6 Jun@ Tristan Suarez0–0D
31 Mayvs Club Atlético Güemes2–0W
24 May@ Chacarita Juniors0–1L
17 Mayvs San Martin S.J.1–2L
11 May@ Nueva Chicago2–1W
15 Mar@ Midland1–1D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Agropecuario – last 6

DDDLWL
7 Junvs Patronato1–1D
30 May@ Colegiales0–0D
24 Mayvs Quilmes0–0D
17 May@ Midland0–2L
5 May@ Gimnasia Y Tiro3–2W
21 Apr@ Atletico DE Rafaela1–4L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Almagro and Agropecuario.

Almagro vs Agropecuario head-to-head page →

Primera Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tristan Suarez3616164+1864
2Atlanta3619512+862
3Temperley3616137+1261
4Gimnasia Jujuy36161010+458
5Midland36151011+1455
6Deportivo Maipu36141012+952
7Colegiales36141012+452
8Gimnasia Y Tiro36141012+252
9San Martin S.J.36131211+651
10San Martin Tucuman36111411+247
11Atletico DE Rafaela36121113-647
12Agropecuario36121014-846
13Quilmes3612915+345
14Chacarita Juniors3612618-642
15Almagro3611916-1142
16Patronato3671712-638
17Nueva Chicago3691017-1137
18Club Atlético Güemes366921-3427

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Almagro vs Agropecuario?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Almagro vs Agropecuario?

On our numbers Almagro have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Agropecuario 30%.

How many goals will there be in Almagro vs Agropecuario?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Almagro vs Agropecuario?

Our predicted score is Almagro 1–0 Agropecuario, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Almagro vs Agropecuario?

Almagro vs Agropecuario (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 13 June 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Tres de Febrero.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.