Value bet: Colegiales to win @ 2.50 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultColegiales to win ✓44% · @2.50
Double chanceColegiales or draw ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.77
Colegiales vs San Martin Tucuman: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 13 June the Primera Nacional brings Colegiales against San Martin Tucuman at Estadio de Colegiales. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Colegiales are 7th, upper half, on 52 points after 36 matches; San Martin Tucuman are 10th (lower half) with 47.
Current form
Colegiales, last 5: LDDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Atletico DE Rafaela, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.4 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
San Martin Tucuman, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Quilmes, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Colegiales 1.2 xG, San Martin Tucuman 0.7 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Colegiales 44%, draw 30%, San Martin Tucuman 26%.
Lower-risk option: Colegiales or draw (74%) at 1.30.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Colegiales to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Colegiales or draw (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Colegiales 1–0 San Martin Tucuman. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Colegiales44%fair 2.27 · @2.50
Draw30%fair 3.34 · @2.62
San Martin Tucuman26%fair 3.85 · @3.20
1.93Expected goals
1.20Colegiales xG
0.74San Martin Tucuman xG
47%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
0–014%
1–113%
0–111%
2–010%
2–18%
From our goals model: Colegiales 1.2 – 0.7 San Martin Tucuman expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Colegiales
San Martin Tucuman
Attack vs Primera Nacional average
+3%
+14%
Goals conceded vs average
-20%
+11%
Our expected goals here
1.41
0.71
Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Colegiales to win✓
44%
2.27
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Colegiales or draw✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.50
Draw no bet
Colegiales (draw no bet)✓
63%
1.59
–
Asian handicap
San Martin Tucuman +1 (Asian handicap)✗
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Colegiales to score first✓
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Colegiales / FT Colegiales✗
27%
3.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.77
–
Recent results
Colegiales – last 5
LDDWL
6 Jun
@ Atletico DE Rafaela
0–1
L
30 May
vs Agropecuario
0–0
D
29 Mar
vs San Miguel
0–0
D
23 Feb
vs Atlanta
1–0
W
14 Feb
@ Gimnasia Y Tiro
1–2
L
0.4Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
San Martin Tucuman – last 6
DLLLWW
7 Jun
vs Quilmes
0–0
D
31 May
@ Midland
0–2
L
24 May
vs Atlanta
0–1
L
17 May
@ Gimnasia Y Tiro
0–1
L
13 May
vs Gimnasia Jujuy
2–0
W
3 May
vs Atletico DE Rafaela
2–1
W
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Colegiales and San Martin Tucuman.
What is the prediction for Colegiales vs San Martin Tucuman?
Our pick is Colegiales or draw with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Colegiales vs San Martin Tucuman?
On our numbers Colegiales have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 30% and San Martin Tucuman 26%.
How many goals will there be in Colegiales vs San Martin Tucuman?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Colegiales vs San Martin Tucuman?
Our predicted score is Colegiales 1–0 San Martin Tucuman, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Colegiales vs San Martin Tucuman?
Colegiales vs San Martin Tucuman (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 13 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de Colegiales.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Defensores De Belgrano0
Colon Santa Fe3
Ciudad de Bolívar1
Deportivo Moron2