Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.48
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17% · fair 5.76
Quilmes vs Gimnasia Y Tiro: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Quilmes welcome Gimnasia Y Tiro to Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes for a Primera Nacional fixture on Saturday 13 June (21:00 WAT). In the table, Quilmes are 13th, lower half, on 45 points after 36 matches; Gimnasia Y Tiro are 8th (upper half) with 52.
Current form
Quilmes, last 5: DWDLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with San Martin Tucuman, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Gimnasia Y Tiro, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Midland, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Quilmes 1.1 xG, Gimnasia Y Tiro 0.7 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Quilmes 42%, draw 32%, Gimnasia Y Tiro 26%.
Lower-risk option: Quilmes or draw (74%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.48.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (71%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Quilmes 1–0 Gimnasia Y Tiro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Quilmes42%fair 2.36 · @2.10
Draw32%fair 3.16 · @2.70
Gimnasia Y Tiro26%fair 3.85 · @4.00
1.82Expected goals
1.07Quilmes xG
0.75Gimnasia Y Tiro xG
46%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
0–016%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Quilmes 1.1 – 0.7 Gimnasia Y Tiro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Quilmes
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Attack vs Primera Nacional average
-12%
+4%
Goals conceded vs average
-16%
-6%
Our expected goals here
1.02
0.69
Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Quilmes to win✓
42%
2.36
2.10
Double chance
Quilmes or draw✓
74%
1.35
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
1.48
Draw no bet
Quilmes (draw no bet)✓
62%
1.61
–
Asian handicap
Gimnasia Y Tiro +1 (Asian handicap)
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.67
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Quilmes to score first✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Quilmes / FT Quilmes✓
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
17%
5.76
–
Recent results
Quilmes – last 6
DWDLDW
7 Jun
@ San Martin Tucuman
0–0
D
31 May
vs Atletico DE Rafaela
2–0
W
24 May
@ Agropecuario
0–0
D
17 May
vs Tristan Suarez
0–1
L
5 May
vs Chacarita Juniors
0–0
D
29 Mar
@ San Telmo
3–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Gimnasia Y Tiro – last 6
WDDWLL
6 Jun
vs Midland
1–0
W
31 May
@ Atlanta
1–1
D
24 May
vs Gimnasia Jujuy
1–1
D
17 May
vs San Martin Tucuman
1–0
W
5 May
vs Agropecuario
2–3
L
1 May
@ Velez Sarsfield
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Quilmes and Gimnasia Y Tiro.
What is the prediction for Quilmes vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Quilmes vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?
On our numbers Quilmes have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Gimnasia Y Tiro 26%.
How many goals will there be in Quilmes vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Quilmes vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?
Our predicted score is Quilmes 1–0 Gimnasia Y Tiro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Quilmes vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?
Quilmes vs Gimnasia Y Tiro (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 13 June 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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