Value bet: Colon Santa Fe to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultColon Santa Fe to win ✓35% · @3.20
Double chanceColon Santa Fe or draw ✓68% · @1.45
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗72% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.91
Defensores De Belgrano vs Colon Santa Fe: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:30 WAT, Saturday 13 June: Defensores De Belgrano v Colon Santa Fe in the Primera Nacional, played at Estadio Juan Pasquale. In the table, Defensores De Belgrano are 15th, lower half, on 39 points after 36 matches; Colon Santa Fe are 5th (upper half) with 60. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Defensores De Belgrano, last 5: DWLDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with San Miguel, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Colon Santa Fe, last 5: DDDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Ciudad de Bolívar, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Colon Santa Fe, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Defensores De Belgrano.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Defensores De Belgrano 0.8 xG, Colon Santa Fe 1.0 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Defensores De Belgrano 32%, draw 33%, Colon Santa Fe 35%.
Lower-risk option: Colon Santa Fe or draw (68%) at 1.45.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Colon Santa Fe to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (72%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Defensores De Belgrano 0–0 Colon Santa Fe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Defensores De Belgrano32%fair 3.15 · @2.60
Draw33%fair 3.00 · @2.50
Colon Santa Fe35%fair 2.86 · @3.20
1.74Expected goals
0.78Defensores De Belgrano xG
0.97Colon Santa Fe xG
49%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–018%
0–117%
1–014%
1–113%
0–28%
1–26%
From our goals model: Defensores De Belgrano 0.8 – 1.0 Colon Santa Fe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Defensores De Belgrano
Colon Santa Fe
Attack vs Primera Nacional average
-29%
+22%
Goals conceded vs average
+5%
-27%
Our expected goals here
0.63
1.00
Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Colon Santa Fe to win✓
35%
2.86
3.20 ▲
Double chance
Colon Santa Fe or draw✓
68%
1.46
1.45
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.53
Draw no bet
Colon Santa Fe (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Defensores De Belgrano +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.67
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
Colon Santa Fe to score first✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.87
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
25%
3.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
5.91
–
Recent results
Defensores De Belgrano – last 6
DWLDLL
6 Jun
@ San Miguel
0–0
D
30 May
vs San Telmo
1–0
W
24 May
@ Acassuso
0–1
L
18 May
vs Chaco For Ever
0–0
D
11 May
@ Ferro Carril Oeste
1–2
L
20 Apr
@ Racing Cordoba
0–3
L
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Colon Santa Fe – last 6
DDDWWW
7 Jun
vs Ciudad de Bolívar
0–0
D
30 May
@ Almirante Brown
1–1
D
24 May
vs Atletico Mitre
1–1
D
12 Apr
vs Racing Cordoba
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs San Miguel
3–0
W
29 Mar
@ Patronato
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Defensores De Belgrano and Colon Santa Fe.
What is the prediction for Defensores De Belgrano vs Colon Santa Fe?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Defensores De Belgrano vs Colon Santa Fe?
On our numbers Defensores De Belgrano have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 33% and Colon Santa Fe 35%.
How many goals will there be in Defensores De Belgrano vs Colon Santa Fe?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Defensores De Belgrano vs Colon Santa Fe?
Our predicted score is Defensores De Belgrano 0–0 Colon Santa Fe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Defensores De Belgrano vs Colon Santa Fe?
Defensores De Belgrano vs Colon Santa Fe (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 13 June 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Pasquale.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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