Value bet: Deportivo Maipu to win @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDeportivo Maipu to win ✗37% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.44
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.13
Almagro vs Deportivo Maipu: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Deportivo Maipu travel to face Almagro on Saturday 12 September in the Primera Nacional, with Estadio Tres de Febrero the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, Almagro are 15th, lower half, on 42 points after 36 matches; Deportivo Maipu are 6th (upper half) with 52.
Current form
Almagro, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Gimnasia Jujuy, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Deportivo Maipu, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Patronato, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Deportivo Maipu, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Almagro.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Almagro 1.0 xG, Deportivo Maipu 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Almagro 36%, draw 27%, Deportivo Maipu 37%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Deportivo Maipu to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 2.15 – longer than our fair 1.94, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Almagro 1–1 Deportivo Maipu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Almagro36%fair 2.77 · @2.50
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @2.62
Deportivo Maipu37%fair 2.68 · @3.10
2.07Expected goals
1.02Almagro xG
1.05Deportivo Maipu xG
52%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–114%
0–113%
1–013%
0–013%
1–27%
0–27%
From our goals model: Almagro 1.0 – 1.0 Deportivo Maipu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Maipu to win✗
37%
2.68
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.36
1.44 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Deportivo Maipu (draw no bet)
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
Almagro +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
84%
1.18
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Deportivo Maipu to score first
44%
2.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
21%
4.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
14.13
–
Recent results
Almagro – last 6
LWDLDL
6 Sep
vs Gimnasia Jujuy
1–2
L
30 Aug
@ Patronato
1–0
W
22 Aug
vs Colegiales
0–0
D
15 Aug
@ Deportivo Moron
0–2
L
9 Aug
@ Quilmes
1–1
D
5 Aug
vs Gimnasia Y Tiro
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Deportivo Maipu – last 6
DLWWLW
6 Sep
vs Patronato
0–0
D
29 Aug
@ Colegiales
0–1
L
23 Aug
vs Quilmes
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Godoy Cruz
2–1
W
8 Aug
@ Midland
0–2
L
2 Aug
vs Atlanta
4–2
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Almagro and Deportivo Maipu.
What is the prediction for Almagro vs Deportivo Maipu?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.15.
Who will win Almagro vs Deportivo Maipu?
On our numbers Almagro have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Deportivo Maipu 37%.
How many goals will there be in Almagro vs Deportivo Maipu?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Almagro vs Deportivo Maipu?
Our predicted score is Almagro 1–1 Deportivo Maipu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Almagro vs Deportivo Maipu?
Almagro vs Deportivo Maipu (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Tres de Febrero.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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