Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.30 – our chance 52% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAtlanta to win ✓57% · @1.70
Double chanceAtlanta or draw ✓79% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.30
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.00
Atlanta vs Club Atlético Güemes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Club Atlético Güemes travel to face Atlanta on Saturday 12 September in the Primera Nacional – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Atlanta are 2nd, among the top four, on 62 points after 36 matches; Club Atlético Güemes are 18th (in the drop zone) with 27. There are 35 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Atlanta, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Chacarita Juniors, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Club Atlético Güemes, last 5: LDDDD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Gimnasia Y Tiro, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Atlanta, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Club Atlético Güemes.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atlanta 1.5 xG, Club Atlético Güemes 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atlanta 57%, draw 22%, Club Atlético Güemes 21%.
Lower-risk option: Atlanta or draw (79%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.30.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Atlanta to win (57%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlanta 1–0 Club Atlético Güemes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atlanta57%fair 1.74 · @1.70
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.10
Club Atlético Güemes21%fair 4.82 · @5.00
2.32Expected goals
1.54Atlanta xG
0.78Club Atlético Güemes xG
52%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–112%
2–012%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Atlanta 1.5 – 0.8 Club Atlético Güemes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlanta to win✓
57%
1.74
1.70
Double chance
Atlanta or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
2.30 ▲
Draw no bet
Atlanta (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Club Atlético Güemes +1 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.09
–
First team to score
Atlanta to score first✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlanta / FT Atlanta✓
34%
2.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.00
–
Recent results
Atlanta – last 6
WLLWLW
5 Sep
@ Chacarita Juniors
1–0
W
30 Aug
vs San Martin S.J.
0–1
L
26 Aug
@ Patronato
0–2
L
22 Aug
@ Nueva Chicago
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Ferro Carril Oeste
1–3
L
9 Aug
vs Temperley
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Club Atlético Güemes – last 6
LDDDDL
6 Sep
vs Gimnasia Y Tiro
1–3
L
30 Aug
@ San Martin Tucuman
1–1
D
24 Aug
vs Atletico DE Rafaela
0–0
D
19 Aug
@ Chacarita Juniors
0–0
D
15 Aug
@ Atletico Mitre
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Agropecuario
0–3
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlanta and Club Atlético Güemes.
What is the prediction for Atlanta vs Club Atlético Güemes?
Our pick is Atlanta to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Atlanta vs Club Atlético Güemes?
On our numbers Atlanta have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Club Atlético Güemes 21%.
How many goals will there be in Atlanta vs Club Atlético Güemes?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlanta vs Club Atlético Güemes?
Our predicted score is Atlanta 1–0 Club Atlético Güemes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Atlanta vs Club Atlético Güemes?
Atlanta vs Club Atlético Güemes (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
All Boys0
San Telmo1