Gimnasia Y Tiro v Tristan Suarez Prediction & Expected Goals (12 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultTristan Suarez to win ✗38% · @3.20

Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.44

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.50

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.40

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.66

Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Tristan Suarez: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

02:00 WAT, Saturday 12 September: Gimnasia Y Tiro v Tristan Suarez in the Primera Nacional, played at Estadio El Gigante del Norte. In the table, Gimnasia Y Tiro are 8th, upper half, on 52 points after 36 matches; Tristan Suarez are 1st (leading the league) with 64. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Gimnasia Y Tiro, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Club Atlético Güemes, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Tristan Suarez, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over San Martin Tucuman, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gimnasia Y Tiro 0.9 xG, Tristan Suarez 1.0 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Gimnasia Y Tiro 34%, draw 28%, Tristan Suarez 38%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Tristan Suarez to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (50%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gimnasia Y Tiro 0–0 Tristan Suarez. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gimnasia Y Tiro34%fair 2.95 · @2.60

Draw28%fair 3.58 · @2.50

Tristan Suarez38%fair 2.62 · @3.20

1.87Expected goals

0.90Gimnasia Y Tiro xG

0.97Tristan Suarez xG

50%Both score

29%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–015%

0–115%

1–014%

1–113%

0–27%

1–27%

From our goals model: Gimnasia Y Tiro 0.9 – 1.0 Tristan Suarez expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Tristan Suarez to win ✗	38%	2.62	3.20 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	72%	1.39	1.44
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	50%	1.99	1.50
Draw no bet	Tristan Suarez (draw no bet)	53%	1.89	–
Asian handicap	Gimnasia Y Tiro +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	64%	1.56	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	56%	1.79	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	71%	1.40	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	88%	1.14	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	96%	1.04	–
First team to score	Tristan Suarez to score first ✗	44%	2.27	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	52%	1.94	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Draw / FT Draw ✓	23%	4.27	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–1 ✗	15%	6.66	–

Gimnasia Y Tiro – last 6

WWLDWW

6 Sep	@ Club Atlético Güemes	3–1	W
29 Aug	vs Chacarita Juniors	1–0	W
22 Aug	@ San Martin S.J.	1–3	L
16 Aug	@ Central Norte	0–0	D
9 Aug	vs Nueva Chicago	2–0	W
5 Aug	@ Almagro	2–0	W

1.5Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Tristan Suarez – last 6

WLWWWW

5 Sep	vs San Martin Tucuman	2–0	W
29 Aug	@ Atletico DE Rafaela	1–2	L
22 Aug	vs Agropecuario	2–0	W
16 Aug	vs Almirante Brown	3–1	W
10 Aug	@ Gimnasia Jujuy	2–0	W
3 Aug	@ Club Atlético Güemes	3–1	W

2.2Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tristan Suarez	36	16	16	4	+18	64
2	Atlanta	36	19	5	12	+8	62
3	Temperley	36	16	13	7	+12	61
4	Gimnasia Jujuy	36	16	10	10	+4	58
5	Midland	36	15	10	11	+14	55
6	Deportivo Maipu	36	14	10	12	+9	52
7	Colegiales	36	14	10	12	+4	52
8	Gimnasia Y Tiro	36	14	10	12	+2	52
9	San Martin S.J.	36	13	12	11	+6	51
10	San Martin Tucuman	36	11	14	11	+2	47
11	Atletico DE Rafaela	36	12	11	13	-6	47
12	Agropecuario	36	12	10	14	-8	46
13	Quilmes	36	12	9	15	+3	45
14	Chacarita Juniors	36	12	6	18	-6	42
15	Almagro	36	11	9	16	-11	42
16	Patronato	36	7	17	12	-6	38
17	Nueva Chicago	36	9	10	17	-11	37
18	Club Atlético Güemes	36	6	9	21	-34	27

Team

Pts

+18

+12

+14

-6

-8

-6

-11

-6

-11

-34

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Tristan Suarez?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Tristan Suarez?

On our numbers Gimnasia Y Tiro have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Tristan Suarez 38%.

How many goals will there be in Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Tristan Suarez?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Tristan Suarez?

Our predicted score is Gimnasia Y Tiro 0–0 Tristan Suarez, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Tristan Suarez?

Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Tristan Suarez (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Gigante del Norte.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Gimnasia Y Tiro v Tristan Suarez: numbers & prediction