Value bet: San Martin S.J. to win @ 3.50 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultQuilmes to win ✓39% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 7.03
Quilmes vs San Martin S.J.: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:00 WAT, Saturday 12 September: Quilmes v San Martin S.J. in the Primera Nacional, played at Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes. In the table, Quilmes are 13th, lower half, on 45 points after 36 matches; San Martin S.J. are 9th (upper half) with 51.
Current form
Quilmes, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Nueva Chicago, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
San Martin S.J., last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Midland, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours San Martin S.J., collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Quilmes.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Quilmes 1.0 xG, San Martin S.J. 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Quilmes 39%, draw 26%, San Martin S.J. 35%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: San Martin S.J. to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (52%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Quilmes 1–0 San Martin S.J.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Quilmes39%fair 2.60 · @2.25
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @2.70
San Martin S.J.35%fair 2.83 · @3.50
1.96Expected goals
1.01Quilmes xG
0.95San Martin S.J. xG
48%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
0–014%
1–114%
0–113%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Quilmes 1.0 – 0.9 San Martin S.J. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Quilmes to win✓
39%
2.60
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.40
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.62
Draw no bet
Quilmes (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
San Martin S.J. +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Quilmes to score first✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
14%
7.03
–
Recent results
Quilmes – last 6
LLLWDW
7 Sep
@ Nueva Chicago
0–1
L
30 Aug
vs Temperley
0–1
L
23 Aug
@ Deportivo Maipu
0–1
L
15 Aug
vs San Telmo
3–0
W
9 Aug
vs Almagro
1–1
D
5 Aug
vs Gimnasia Jujuy
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
San Martin S.J. – last 6
WWWDDD
6 Sep
vs Midland
3–2
W
30 Aug
@ Atlanta
1–0
W
22 Aug
vs Gimnasia Y Tiro
3–1
W
16 Aug
@ Racing Cordoba
0–0
D
9 Aug
@ San Martin Tucuman
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Atletico DE Rafaela
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Quilmes and San Martin S.J..
What is the prediction for Quilmes vs San Martin S.J.?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Quilmes vs San Martin S.J.?
On our numbers Quilmes have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and San Martin S.J. 35%.
How many goals will there be in Quilmes vs San Martin S.J.?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Quilmes vs San Martin S.J.?
Our predicted score is Quilmes 1–0 San Martin S.J., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Quilmes vs San Martin S.J.?
Quilmes vs San Martin S.J. (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
All Boys0
San Telmo1