Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAurora to win ✗47% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.44
Aurora vs Mixco: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 1 March the Liga Nacional brings Aurora against Mixco at Estadio Guillermo Slowing. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Aurora are 11th, in the drop zone, on 20 points after 22 matches; Mixco are 3rd (among the top four) with 36. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Aurora, last 4: DWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Marquense, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Mixco, last 3: DLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Mictlán, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Aurora, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.3 for Mixco.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aurora 1.6 xG, Mixco 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aurora 47%, draw 26%, Mixco 27%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (69%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aurora 1–1 Mixco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aurora47%fair 2.11 · @2.20
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @2.85
Mixco27%fair 3.76 · @3.40
2.69Expected goals
1.64Aurora xG
1.05Mixco xG
57%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: Aurora 1.6 – 1.1 Mixco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Aurora
Mixco
Attack vs Liga Nacional average
+8%
+16%
Goals conceded vs average
+6%
+13%
Our expected goals here
2.04
1.13
Our own ratings from every Liga Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aurora to win✗
47%
2.11
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Aurora (draw no bet)
64%
1.56
–
Asian handicap
Mixco +1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.32
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Aurora to score first✓
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aurora / FT Aurora✗
31%
3.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.44
–
Recent results
Aurora – last 4
DWLW
26 Feb
@ Marquense
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Comunicaciones
2–0
W
19 Feb
@ Antigua GFC
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Cobán Imperial
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Mixco – last 3
DLL
26 Feb
vs Mictlán
2–2
D
23 Feb
@ Xelajú
1–2
L
20 Feb
@ Marquense
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aurora and Mixco.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Aurora vs Mixco?
On our numbers Aurora have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Mixco 27%.
How many goals will there be in Aurora vs Mixco?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aurora vs Mixco?
Our predicted score is Aurora 1–1 Mixco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Aurora vs Mixco?
Aurora vs Mixco (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Guillermo Slowing.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
