Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10% · fair 9.74
Municipal vs Marquense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Municipal welcome Marquense to Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera for a Liga Nacional fixture on Sunday 1 March (01:00 WAT). In the table, Municipal are 2nd, among the top four, on 38 points after 22 matches; Marquense are 8th (lower half) with 30.
Current form
Municipal, last 4: LWDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Comunicaciones, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Marquense, last 4: DLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Aurora, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Municipal 1.9 xG, Marquense 0.5 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Municipal 70%, draw 20%, Marquense 9%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (70%, odds 1.48 – longer than our fair 1.44, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Municipal 1–0 Marquense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Municipal70%fair 1.42 · @1.20
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @5.50
Marquense9%fair 10.53 · @12.00
2.47Expected goals
1.94Municipal xG
0.53Marquense xG
48%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–016%
3–010%
1–19%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Municipal 1.9 – 0.5 Marquense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Municipal
Marquense
Attack vs Liga Nacional average
+6%
-23%
Goals conceded vs average
-38%
-5%
Our expected goals here
1.67
0.44
Our own ratings from every Liga Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Municipal to win✓
70%
1.42
1.20
Double chance
Municipal or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.01
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.53
Draw no bet
Municipal (draw no bet)✓
88%
1.14
–
Asian handicap
Municipal -1 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
First team to score
Municipal to score first✓
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Municipal ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Municipal / FT Municipal✗
46%
2.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
10%
9.74
–
Recent results
Municipal – last 4
LWDD
26 Feb
@ Comunicaciones
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Antigua GFC
4–2
W
18 Feb
@ Cobán Imperial
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Achuapa
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Marquense – last 4
DLWL
26 Feb
vs Aurora
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Mictlán
1–2
L
20 Feb
vs Mixco
2–1
W
16 Feb
@ Xelajú
2–4
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Municipal and Marquense.
What is the prediction for Municipal vs Marquense?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Municipal vs Marquense?
On our numbers Municipal have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Marquense 9%.
How many goals will there be in Municipal vs Marquense?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Municipal vs Marquense?
Our predicted score is Municipal 1–0 Marquense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Municipal vs Marquense?
Municipal vs Marquense (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
