Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Antigua GFC to win @ 3.30 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMalacateco to win ✗39% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.53
Malacateco vs Antigua GFC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
03:00 WAT, Sunday 1 March: Malacateco v Antigua GFC in the Liga Nacional. In the table, Malacateco are 10th, in the drop zone, on 22 points after 22 matches; Antigua GFC are 5th (upper half) with 34. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Malacateco, last 4: LDWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Cobán Imperial, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Antigua GFC, last 4: WLWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Guastatoya, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Antigua GFC, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Malacateco.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Malacateco 1.2 xG, Antigua GFC 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Malacateco 39%, draw 28%, Antigua GFC 33%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Antigua GFC to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Malacateco 1–1 Antigua GFC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Malacateco39%fair 2.58 · @2.20
Draw28%fair 3.54 · @3.00
Antigua GFC33%fair 3.04 · @3.30
2.37Expected goals
1.22Malacateco xG
1.16Antigua GFC xG
57%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Malacateco 1.2 – 1.2 Antigua GFC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Malacateco
Antigua GFC
Attack vs Liga Nacional average
-25%
+26%
Goals conceded vs average
-2%
-12%
Our expected goals here
1.11
1.14
Our own ratings from every Liga Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Malacateco to win✗
39%
2.58
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.39
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
1.85
Draw no bet
Malacateco (draw no bet)
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
Antigua GFC +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.74
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Malacateco to score first✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Malacateco / FT Malacateco✗
21%
4.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.53
–
Recent results
Malacateco – last 4
LDWD
24 Feb
@ Cobán Imperial
0–2
L
21 Feb
vs Achuapa
1–1
D
19 Feb
vs Xelajú
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Guastatoya
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Antigua GFC – last 4
WLWD
25 Feb
vs Guastatoya
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ Municipal
2–4
L
19 Feb
vs Aurora
2–0
W
15 Feb
@ Mictlán
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Malacateco and Antigua GFC.
What is the prediction for Malacateco vs Antigua GFC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Malacateco vs Antigua GFC?
On our numbers Malacateco have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Antigua GFC 33%.
How many goals will there be in Malacateco vs Antigua GFC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Malacateco vs Antigua GFC?
Our predicted score is Malacateco 1–1 Antigua GFC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Malacateco vs Antigua GFC?
Malacateco vs Antigua GFC (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
