Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultAchuapa to win42% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win72% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 11.79
Achuapa vs Cobán Imperial: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
22:00 WAT, Sunday 1 March: Achuapa v Cobán Imperial in the Liga Nacional, played at Estadio Winston Pineda. In the table, Achuapa are 12th, in the drop zone, on 19 points after 22 matches; Cobán Imperial are 6th (upper half) with 32. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Achuapa, last 4: DDWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Xelajú, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Cobán Imperial, last 4: WLDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Malacateco, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Achuapa, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Cobán Imperial.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Achuapa 1.3 xG, Cobán Imperial 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Achuapa 42%, draw 28%, Cobán Imperial 31%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Achuapa 1–1 Cobán Imperial. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Achuapa42%fair 2.40 · @2.30
Draw28%fair 3.61 · @3.00
Cobán Imperial31%fair 3.27 · @3.00
2.32Expected goals
1.30Achuapa xG
1.01Cobán Imperial xG
55%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Achuapa 1.3 – 1.0 Cobán Imperial expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Achuapa
Cobán Imperial
Attack vs Liga Nacional average
-22%
+2%
Goals conceded vs average
+3%
+3%
Our expected goals here
1.35
0.97
Our own ratings from every Liga Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Achuapa to win
42%
2.40
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win
72%
1.38
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
55%
1.81
1.85
Draw no bet
Achuapa (draw no bet)
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Cobán Imperial +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
66%
1.51
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
58%
1.71
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
91%
1.09
–
First team to score
Achuapa to score first
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Achuapa / FT Achuapa
25%
4.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
8%
11.79
–
Recent results
Achuapa – last 4
DDWD
25 Feb
vs Xelajú
0–0
D
21 Feb
@ Malacateco
1–1
D
17 Feb
vs Guastatoya
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Municipal
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Cobán Imperial – last 4
WLDL
24 Feb
vs Malacateco
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ Guastatoya
0–2
L
18 Feb
vs Municipal
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ Aurora
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Achuapa and Cobán Imperial.
What is the prediction for Achuapa vs Cobán Imperial?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Achuapa vs Cobán Imperial?
On our numbers Achuapa have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Cobán Imperial 31%.
How many goals will there be in Achuapa vs Cobán Imperial?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Achuapa vs Cobán Imperial?
Our predicted score is Achuapa 1–1 Cobán Imperial, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Achuapa vs Cobán Imperial?
Achuapa vs Cobán Imperial (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Winston Pineda.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
