Both teams scoreNot both teams to score56% · fair 1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–016% · fair 6.26
Achuapa vs Marquense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Marquense travel to face Achuapa on Sunday 15 March in the Liga Nacional, with Estadio Winston Pineda the venue – the ball rolls at 22:00 WAT. In the table, Achuapa are 12th, in the drop zone, on 19 points after 22 matches; Marquense are 8th (lower half) with 30.
Current form
Achuapa, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Comunicaciones, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Marquense, last 5: WDLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Malacateco, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Achuapa 1.4 xG, Marquense 0.8 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Achuapa 53%, draw 28%, Marquense 19%.
Lower-risk option: Achuapa or draw (81%) at 1.17.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (61%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Achuapa 1–0 Marquense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Achuapa53%fair 1.88 · @1.80
Draw28%fair 3.62 · @3.25
Marquense19%fair 5.24 · @4.00
2.18Expected goals
1.41Achuapa xG
0.77Marquense xG
44%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
1–112%
0–011%
2–011%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Achuapa 1.4 – 0.8 Marquense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Achuapa
Marquense
Attack vs Liga Nacional average
-22%
-23%
Goals conceded vs average
+3%
-5%
Our expected goals here
1.23
0.73
Our own ratings from every Liga Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Achuapa to win
53%
1.88
1.80
Double chance
Achuapa or draw
81%
1.24
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
56%
1.79
–
Draw no bet
Achuapa (draw no bet)
74%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Marquense +1 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
61%
1.65
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Achuapa to score first
57%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Achuapa / FT Achuapa
31%
3.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
16%
6.26
–
Recent results
Achuapa – last 6
LLDDWD
9 Mar
@ Comunicaciones
0–4
L
5 Mar
@ Antigua GFC
0–1
L
25 Feb
vs Xelajú
0–0
D
21 Feb
@ Malacateco
1–1
D
17 Feb
vs Guastatoya
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Municipal
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Marquense – last 6
WDLDLW
8 Mar
vs Malacateco
1–0
W
5 Mar
vs Guastatoya
2–2
D
1 Mar
@ Municipal
0–1
L
26 Feb
vs Aurora
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Mictlán
1–2
L
20 Feb
vs Mixco
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Achuapa and Marquense.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Achuapa vs Marquense?
On our numbers Achuapa have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Marquense 19%.
How many goals will there be in Achuapa vs Marquense?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Achuapa vs Marquense?
Our predicted score is Achuapa 1–0 Marquense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Achuapa vs Marquense?
Achuapa vs Marquense (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Winston Pineda.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
