Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 55% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMalacateco to win ✗50% · @1.95
Double chanceMalacateco or draw ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.96
Malacateco vs Mixco: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 15 March the Liga Nacional brings Malacateco against Mixco. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT. In the table, Malacateco are 10th, in the drop zone, on 22 points after 22 matches; Mixco are 3rd (among the top four) with 36. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Malacateco, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Marquense, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Mixco, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Municipal, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Malacateco 1.5 xG, Mixco 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Malacateco 50%, draw 27%, Mixco 23%.
Lower-risk option: Malacateco or draw (77%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Malacateco or draw (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Malacateco 1–0 Mixco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Malacateco50%fair 2.01 · @1.95
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @3.00
Mixco23%fair 4.31 · @3.60
2.45Expected goals
1.47Malacateco xG
0.98Mixco xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–09%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: Malacateco 1.5 – 1.0 Mixco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Malacateco
Mixco
Attack vs Liga Nacional average
-25%
+16%
Goals conceded vs average
-2%
+13%
Our expected goals here
1.42
1.05
Our own ratings from every Liga Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Malacateco to win✗
50%
2.01
1.95
Double chance
Malacateco or draw✗
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Malacateco (draw no bet)✗
68%
1.47
–
Asian handicap
Mixco +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Malacateco to score first✓
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Malacateco / FT Malacateco✗
29%
3.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.96
–
Recent results
Malacateco – last 6
LLDLDW
8 Mar
@ Marquense
0–1
L
4 Mar
@ Comunicaciones
2–3
L
1 Mar
vs Antigua GFC
2–2
D
24 Feb
@ Cobán Imperial
0–2
L
21 Feb
vs Achuapa
1–1
D
19 Feb
vs Xelajú
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Mixco – last 5
WDDLL
4 Mar
vs Municipal
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Aurora
1–1
D
26 Feb
vs Mictlán
2–2
D
23 Feb
@ Xelajú
1–2
L
20 Feb
@ Marquense
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Malacateco and Mixco.
Our pick is Malacateco or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Malacateco vs Mixco?
On our numbers Malacateco have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Mixco 23%.
How many goals will there be in Malacateco vs Mixco?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Malacateco vs Mixco?
Our predicted score is Malacateco 1–0 Mixco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Malacateco vs Mixco?
Malacateco vs Mixco (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
