Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 55% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGuastatoya to win ✓62% · @1.60
Double chanceGuastatoya or draw ✓86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.35
Guastatoya vs Mictlán: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:00 WAT, Sunday 15 March: Guastatoya v Mictlán in the Liga Nacional. In the table, Guastatoya are 7th, lower half, on 31 points after 22 matches; Mictlán are 9th (lower half) with 27.
Current form
Guastatoya, last 5: DLWLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Marquense, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Mictlán, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Aurora, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Guastatoya 1.9 xG, Mictlán 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Guastatoya 62%, draw 24%, Mictlán 14%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Guastatoya to win (62%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guastatoya 1–0 Mictlán. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Guastatoya62%fair 1.61 · @1.60
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.30
Mictlán14%fair 7.07 · @5.50
2.67Expected goals
1.89Guastatoya xG
0.79Mictlán xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Guastatoya 1.9 – 0.8 Mictlán expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Guastatoya
Mictlán
Attack vs Liga Nacional average
+2%
+3%
Goals conceded vs average
-9%
+23%
Our expected goals here
2.10
0.86
Our own ratings from every Liga Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guastatoya to win✓
62%
1.61
1.60
Double chance
Guastatoya or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Guastatoya (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Guastatoya -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Guastatoya to score first✓
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Guastatoya ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guastatoya / FT Guastatoya✓
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.35
–
Recent results
Guastatoya – last 5
DLWLD
5 Mar
@ Marquense
2–2
D
25 Feb
@ Antigua GFC
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs Cobán Imperial
2–0
W
17 Feb
@ Achuapa
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Malacateco
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Mictlán – last 6
WLDWLD
11 Mar
vs Aurora
2–0
W
2 Mar
@ Xelajú
0–2
L
26 Feb
@ Mixco
2–2
D
22 Feb
vs Marquense
2–1
W
20 Feb
@ Comunicaciones
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Antigua GFC
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guastatoya and Mictlán.
Our pick is Guastatoya to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Guastatoya vs Mictlán?
On our numbers Guastatoya have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Mictlán 14%.
How many goals will there be in Guastatoya vs Mictlán?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guastatoya vs Mictlán?
Our predicted score is Guastatoya 1–0 Mictlán, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Guastatoya vs Mictlán?
Guastatoya vs Mictlán (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
