Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultXelajú to win ✗55% · @1.83
Double chanceXelajú or draw ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.27
Xelajú vs Antigua GFC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 15 March the Liga Nacional brings Xelajú against Antigua GFC at Estadio Mario Camposeco. Kick-off: 04:00 WAT. In the table, Xelajú are 1st, leading the league, on 39 points after 22 matches; Antigua GFC are 5th (upper half) with 34.
Current form
Xelajú, last 5: DDWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Aurora, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Antigua GFC, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Cobán Imperial, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Xelajú 1.7 xG, Antigua GFC 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Xelajú 55%, draw 25%, Antigua GFC 21%.
Lower-risk option: Xelajú or draw (79%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Xelajú or draw (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Xelajú 1–0 Antigua GFC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Xelajú55%fair 1.83 · @1.83
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.10
Antigua GFC21%fair 4.82 · @4.20
2.67Expected goals
1.72Xelajú xG
0.94Antigua GFC xG
56%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Xelajú 1.7 – 0.9 Antigua GFC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Xelajú
Antigua GFC
Attack vs Liga Nacional average
+22%
+26%
Goals conceded vs average
-19%
-12%
Our expected goals here
1.80
0.94
Our own ratings from every Liga Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Xelajú to win✗
55%
1.83
1.83
Double chance
Xelajú or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Xelajú (draw no bet)
72%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Antigua GFC +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Xelajú to score first
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Xelajú / FT Xelajú✗
34%
2.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.27
–
Recent results
Xelajú – last 6
DDWDWL
8 Mar
@ Aurora
0–0
D
5 Mar
@ Cobán Imperial
1–1
D
2 Mar
vs Mictlán
2–0
W
25 Feb
@ Achuapa
0–0
D
23 Feb
vs Mixco
2–1
W
19 Feb
@ Malacateco
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Antigua GFC – last 6
DWDWLW
9 Mar
vs Cobán Imperial
2–2
D
5 Mar
vs Achuapa
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Malacateco
2–2
D
25 Feb
vs Guastatoya
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ Municipal
2–4
L
19 Feb
vs Aurora
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Xelajú and Antigua GFC.
Our pick is Xelajú or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Xelajú vs Antigua GFC?
On our numbers Xelajú have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Antigua GFC 21%.
How many goals will there be in Xelajú vs Antigua GFC?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Xelajú vs Antigua GFC?
Our predicted score is Xelajú 1–0 Antigua GFC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Xelajú vs Antigua GFC?
Xelajú vs Antigua GFC (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Mario Camposeco.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
