Argentino de Merlo v Arsenal Sarandi Prediction & Expected Goals (22 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultArsenal Sarandi to win ✗43% · @2.25

Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.36

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.15

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.49

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.28

Argentino de Merlo vs Arsenal Sarandi: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Argentino de Merlo welcome Arsenal Sarandi to Estadio Juan Carlos Brieva for a Primera B Metropolitana fixture on Saturday 22 August (19:00 WAT). In the table, Argentino de Merlo are 13th, lower half, on 50 points after 42 matches; Arsenal Sarandi are 2nd (among the top four) with 77. There are 27 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Argentino de Merlo, last 5: DWLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ituzaingó, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Arsenal Sarandi, last 5: LDDDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Talleres Remedios, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (10 Apr 2026) it ended Arsenal Sarandi 3–0 Argentino de Merlo.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Argentino de Merlo 0.9 xG, Arsenal Sarandi 1.1 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Argentino de Merlo 31%, draw 26%, Arsenal Sarandi 43%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.15.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (50%, odds 2.15 – longer than our fair 2.00, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Argentino de Merlo 1–1 Arsenal Sarandi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Argentino de Merlo31%fair 3.23 · @3.30

Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.75

Arsenal Sarandi43%fair 2.31 · @2.25

2.02Expected goals

0.89Argentino de Merlo xG

1.13Arsenal Sarandi xG

50%Both score

33%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–115%

1–113%

0–013%

1–012%

0–28%

1–28%

From our goals model: Argentino de Merlo 0.9 – 1.1 Arsenal Sarandi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Arsenal Sarandi to win ✗	43%	2.31	2.25
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	74%	1.35	1.36
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	50%	2.00	2.15 ▲
Draw no bet	Arsenal Sarandi (draw no bet)	58%	1.72	–
Asian handicap	Argentino de Merlo +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	78%	1.29	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	60%	1.67	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	67%	1.49	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	85%	1.17	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	95%	1.06	–
First team to score	Arsenal Sarandi to score first ✗	48%	2.06	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	50%	2.02	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Arsenal Sarandi / FT Arsenal Sarandi ✗	23%	4.32	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	8%	13.28	–

Argentino de Merlo – last 6

DWLLDL

15 Aug	vs Ituzaingó	1–1	D
8 Aug	@ Talleres Remedios	2–1	W
1 Aug	vs Deportivo Laferrere	1–3	L
25 Jul	@ Brown DE Adrogue	0–1	L
18 Jul	vs Deportivo Armenio	2–2	D
14 Jul	@ Flandria	0–1	L

1.0Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Arsenal Sarandi – last 6

LDDDWL

15 Aug	vs Talleres Remedios	0–1	L
9 Aug	@ Deportivo Laferrere	1–1	D
31 Jul	vs Brown DE Adrogue	1–1	D
25 Jul	@ Deportivo Armenio	0–0	D
18 Jul	vs Flandria	1–0	W
14 Jul	@ Argentino Quilmes	0–1	L

0.5Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

33%Both scored

0%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Excursionistas	42	24	9	9	+36	81
2	Arsenal Sarandi	42	21	14	7	+28	77
3	Sportivo Italiano	42	20	12	10	+15	72
4	Talleres Remedios	42	20	11	11	+19	71
5	Deportivo Camioneros	42	19	13	10	+15	70
6	Villa Dalmine	42	18	14	10	+12	68
7	Real Pilar	42	18	12	12	+4	66
8	Deportivo Armenio	42	17	12	13	+3	63
9	Comunicaciones	42	15	15	12	+5	60
10	Deportivo Laferrere	42	15	14	13	-2	59
11	Villa San Carlos	42	12	15	15	-5	51
12	San Martín Burzaco	42	12	15	15	-6	51
13	Argentino de Merlo	42	13	11	18	-6	50
14	Flandria	42	13	10	19	-10	49
15	Deportivo Merlo	42	11	16	15	-15	49
16	Liniers	42	11	15	16	-7	48
17	Argentino Quilmes	42	10	17	15	-8	47
18	Dock Sud	42	11	14	17	-9	47
19	Defensores Unidos	42	10	16	16	-6	46
20	Brown DE Adrogue	42	10	16	16	-12	46
21	UAI Urquiza	42	8	21	13	-10	45
22	Ituzaingó	42	1	14	27	-41	17

Team

Pts

+36

+28

+15

+19

+15

+12

-2

-5

-6

-6

-10

-15

-7

-8

-9

-6

-12

-10

-41

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Argentino de Merlo vs Arsenal Sarandi?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.15.

Who will win Argentino de Merlo vs Arsenal Sarandi?

On our numbers Argentino de Merlo have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Arsenal Sarandi 43%.

How many goals will there be in Argentino de Merlo vs Arsenal Sarandi?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Argentino de Merlo vs Arsenal Sarandi?

Our predicted score is Argentino de Merlo 1–1 Arsenal Sarandi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Argentino de Merlo vs Arsenal Sarandi?

Argentino de Merlo vs Arsenal Sarandi (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Carlos Brieva.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Argentino de Merlo v Arsenal Sarandi: numbers & prediction