Ituzaingó v Deportivo Merlo Prediction & Expected Goals (22 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultDeportivo Merlo to win ✗46% · @2.10

Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.40

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.10

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.35

Ituzaingó vs Deportivo Merlo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ituzaingó welcome Deportivo Merlo to Estadio Carlos Sacaan for a Primera B Metropolitana fixture on Saturday 22 August (19:00 WAT). In the table, Ituzaingó are 22nd, in the drop zone, on 17 points after 42 matches; Deportivo Merlo are 15th (lower half) with 49. There are 32 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Ituzaingó, last 5: DLDDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Argentino de Merlo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Deportivo Merlo, last 5: DLDLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Deportivo Camioneros, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Deportivo Merlo, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Ituzaingó.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ituzaingó 1.0 xG, Deportivo Merlo 1.4 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Ituzaingó 29%, draw 25%, Deportivo Merlo 46%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.10.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 2.10 – longer than our fair 1.82, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ituzaingó 1–1 Deportivo Merlo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ituzaingó29%fair 3.47 · @3.60

Draw25%fair 4.01 · @2.80

Deportivo Merlo46%fair 2.16 · @2.10

2.40Expected goals

1.02Ituzaingó xG

1.38Deportivo Merlo xG

55%Both score

43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

0–113%

1–09%

0–09%

1–29%

0–29%

From our goals model: Ituzaingó 1.0 – 1.4 Deportivo Merlo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Deportivo Merlo to win ✗	46%	2.16	2.10
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	75%	1.33	1.40 ▲
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	55%	1.82	2.10 ▲
Draw no bet	Deportivo Merlo (draw no bet)	62%	1.62	–
Asian handicap	Ituzaingó +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	72%	1.39	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	69%	1.45	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	57%	1.76	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	78%	1.28	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	90%	1.11	–
First team to score	Deportivo Merlo to score first ✗	52%	1.91	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	45%	2.23	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Deportivo Merlo / FT Deportivo Merlo ✗	26%	3.78	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	11.35	–

Ituzaingó – last 6

DLDDLL

15 Aug	@ Argentino de Merlo	1–1	D
7 Aug	vs Deportivo Camioneros	0–1	L
1 Aug	@ Talleres Remedios	0–0	D
25 Jul	vs Sportivo Italiano	0–0	D
18 Jul	@ Deportivo Laferrere	0–2	L
14 Jul	vs San Martín Burzaco	1–2	L

0.3Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

33%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

Deportivo Merlo – last 6

DLDLDW

15 Aug	@ Deportivo Camioneros	0–0	D
9 Aug	vs Sportivo Italiano	0–4	L
2 Aug	@ San Martín Burzaco	1–1	D
25 Jul	vs Villa San Carlos	1–2	L
18 Jul	@ Liniers	1–1	D
14 Jul	vs Real Pilar	3–2	W

1.0Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Excursionistas	42	24	9	9	+36	81
2	Arsenal Sarandi	42	21	14	7	+28	77
3	Sportivo Italiano	42	20	12	10	+15	72
4	Talleres Remedios	42	20	11	11	+19	71
5	Deportivo Camioneros	42	19	13	10	+15	70
6	Villa Dalmine	42	18	14	10	+12	68
7	Real Pilar	42	18	12	12	+4	66
8	Deportivo Armenio	42	17	12	13	+3	63
9	Comunicaciones	42	15	15	12	+5	60
10	Deportivo Laferrere	42	15	14	13	-2	59
11	Villa San Carlos	42	12	15	15	-5	51
12	San Martín Burzaco	42	12	15	15	-6	51
13	Argentino de Merlo	42	13	11	18	-6	50
14	Flandria	42	13	10	19	-10	49
15	Deportivo Merlo	42	11	16	15	-15	49
16	Liniers	42	11	15	16	-7	48
17	Argentino Quilmes	42	10	17	15	-8	47
18	Dock Sud	42	11	14	17	-9	47
19	Defensores Unidos	42	10	16	16	-6	46
20	Brown DE Adrogue	42	10	16	16	-12	46
21	UAI Urquiza	42	8	21	13	-10	45
22	Ituzaingó	42	1	14	27	-41	17

Team

Pts

+36

+28

+15

+19

+15

+12

-2

-5

-6

-6

-10

-15

-7

-8

-9

-6

-12

-10

-41

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ituzaingó vs Deportivo Merlo?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.

Who will win Ituzaingó vs Deportivo Merlo?

On our numbers Ituzaingó have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Deportivo Merlo 46%.

How many goals will there be in Ituzaingó vs Deportivo Merlo?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ituzaingó vs Deportivo Merlo?

Our predicted score is Ituzaingó 1–1 Deportivo Merlo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Ituzaingó vs Deportivo Merlo?

Ituzaingó vs Deportivo Merlo (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Sacaan.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Ituzaingó v Deportivo Merlo: numbers & prediction