Argentino Quilmes 42%Draw 23%Villa San Carlos 35%Expected goals 1.13 – 0.99
64%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Villa San Carlos to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultArgentino Quilmes to win ✗42% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.15
Argentino Quilmes vs Villa San Carlos: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Villa San Carlos travel to face Argentino Quilmes on Saturday 22 August in the Primera B Metropolitana, with Barranca Quilmena stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 23:00 WAT. In the table, Argentino Quilmes are 17th, lower half, on 47 points after 42 matches; Villa San Carlos are 11th (upper half) with 51.
Current form
Argentino Quilmes, last 5: WDDDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Liniers, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 6 clean sheets in that run.
Villa San Carlos, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Defensores Unidos, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Argentino Quilmes 1.1 xG, Villa San Carlos 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Argentino Quilmes 42%, draw 23%, Villa San Carlos 35%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Villa San Carlos to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Argentino Quilmes 1–1 Villa San Carlos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Argentino Quilmes42%fair 2.37 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.10
Villa San Carlos35%fair 2.88 · @3.20
2.12Expected goals
1.13Argentino Quilmes xG
0.99Villa San Carlos xG
54%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Argentino Quilmes 1.1 – 1.0 Villa San Carlos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Argentino Quilmes to win✗
42%
2.37
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Argentino Quilmes (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Villa San Carlos +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
First team to score
Argentino Quilmes to score first✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Argentino Quilmes / FT Argentino Quilmes✗
22%
4.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
13.15
–
Recent results
Argentino Quilmes – last 6
WDDDDW
16 Aug
@ Liniers
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Real Pilar
0–0
D
1 Aug
@ UAI Urquiza
0–0
D
25 Jul
vs Villa Dalmine
0–0
D
18 Jul
@ Excursionistas
0–0
D
14 Jul
vs Arsenal Sarandi
1–0
W
0.3Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Villa San Carlos – last 6
WWDWLL
16 Aug
vs Defensores Unidos
1–0
W
7 Aug
@ Comunicaciones
1–0
W
2 Aug
vs Dock Sud
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Deportivo Merlo
2–1
W
18 Jul
vs Deportivo Camioneros
0–2
L
14 Jul
@ Sportivo Italiano
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Argentino Quilmes and Villa San Carlos.
What is the prediction for Argentino Quilmes vs Villa San Carlos?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Argentino Quilmes vs Villa San Carlos?
On our numbers Argentino Quilmes have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Villa San Carlos 35%.
How many goals will there be in Argentino Quilmes vs Villa San Carlos?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Argentino Quilmes vs Villa San Carlos?
Our predicted score is Argentino Quilmes 1–1 Villa San Carlos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Argentino Quilmes vs Villa San Carlos?
Argentino Quilmes vs Villa San Carlos (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Barranca Quilmena stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
