Value bet: Defensores Unidos to win @ 2.90 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDefensores Unidos to win ✓39% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.46
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.06
Defensores Unidos vs San Martín Burzaco: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 22 August the Primera B Metropolitana brings Defensores Unidos against San Martín Burzaco at Estadio Gigante de Villa Fox. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Defensores Unidos are 19th, lower half, on 46 points after 42 matches; San Martín Burzaco are 12th (lower half) with 51.
Current form
Defensores Unidos, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Villa San Carlos, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
San Martín Burzaco, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Comunicaciones, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours San Martín Burzaco, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.3 for Defensores Unidos.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Defensores Unidos 1.0 xG, San Martín Burzaco 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Defensores Unidos 39%, draw 26%, San Martín Burzaco 35%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Defensores Unidos to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (51%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Defensores Unidos 1–0 San Martín Burzaco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Defensores Unidos39%fair 2.59 · @2.90
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @2.70
San Martín Burzaco35%fair 2.83 · @2.50
1.97Expected goals
1.02Defensores Unidos xG
0.95San Martín Burzaco xG
49%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
0–014%
1–114%
0–113%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Defensores Unidos 1.0 – 1.0 San Martín Burzaco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Defensores Unidos to win✓
39%
2.59
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.40
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.67
Draw no bet
Defensores Unidos (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
San Martín Burzaco +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Defensores Unidos to score first✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.06
–
Recent results
Defensores Unidos – last 6
LLLDDL
16 Aug
@ Villa San Carlos
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs Liniers
2–3
L
1 Aug
@ Real Pilar
1–2
L
25 Jul
vs UAI Urquiza
1–1
D
18 Jul
@ Villa Dalmine
0–0
D
14 Jul
vs Excursionistas
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
San Martín Burzaco – last 6
DLDLLW
15 Aug
vs Comunicaciones
0–0
D
9 Aug
@ Dock Sud
1–4
L
2 Aug
vs Deportivo Merlo
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Deportivo Camioneros
0–2
L
18 Jul
vs Sportivo Italiano
1–2
L
14 Jul
@ Ituzaingó
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Defensores Unidos and San Martín Burzaco.
What is the prediction for Defensores Unidos vs San Martín Burzaco?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Defensores Unidos vs San Martín Burzaco?
On our numbers Defensores Unidos have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and San Martín Burzaco 35%.
How many goals will there be in Defensores Unidos vs San Martín Burzaco?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Defensores Unidos vs San Martín Burzaco?
Our predicted score is Defensores Unidos 1–0 San Martín Burzaco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Defensores Unidos vs San Martín Burzaco?
Defensores Unidos vs San Martín Burzaco (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Gigante de Villa Fox.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
