Argentino Quilmes v Sportivo Italiano Prediction & Expected Goals (29 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultSportivo Italiano to win ✓41% · @2.62

Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.40

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.60

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.43

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.45

Argentino Quilmes vs Sportivo Italiano: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 29 August the Primera B Metropolitana brings Argentino Quilmes against Sportivo Italiano at Barranca Quilmena stadium. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Argentino Quilmes are 17th, lower half, on 47 points after 42 matches; Sportivo Italiano are 3rd (among the top four) with 72. There are 25 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Argentino Quilmes, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to San Martín Burzaco, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Sportivo Italiano, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Defensores Unidos, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Argentino Quilmes 0.9 xG, Sportivo Italiano 1.0 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Argentino Quilmes 31%, draw 28%, Sportivo Italiano 41%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Sportivo Italiano to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 41%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (53%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Argentino Quilmes 0–1 Sportivo Italiano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Argentino Quilmes31%fair 3.19 · @2.90

Draw28%fair 3.63 · @2.50

Sportivo Italiano41%fair 2.43 · @2.62

1.91Expected goals

0.86Argentino Quilmes xG

1.05Sportivo Italiano xG

47%Both score

30%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–115%

0–015%

1–113%

1–013%

0–28%

1–27%

From our goals model: Argentino Quilmes 0.9 – 1.0 Sportivo Italiano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Sportivo Italiano to win ✓	41%	2.43	2.62 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	72%	1.38	1.40
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	53%	1.89	1.60
Draw no bet	Sportivo Italiano (draw no bet) ✓	57%	1.76	–
Asian handicap	Argentino Quilmes +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	61%	1.64	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	57%	1.76	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	70%	1.43	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	87%	1.15	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	96%	1.05	–
First team to score	Sportivo Italiano to score first ✓	47%	2.14	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	51%	1.96	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Draw / FT Draw ✗	23%	4.38	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–1 ✗	15%	6.45	–

Argentino Quilmes – last 6

LLWDDD

25 Aug	@ San Martín Burzaco	2–3	L
22 Aug	vs Villa San Carlos	0–2	L
16 Aug	@ Liniers	1–0	W
8 Aug	vs Real Pilar	0–0	D
1 Aug	@ UAI Urquiza	0–0	D
25 Jul	vs Villa Dalmine	0–0	D

0.5Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

17%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

Sportivo Italiano – last 6

LLWWDD

25 Aug	vs Defensores Unidos	0–2	L
21 Aug	@ Comunicaciones	0–1	L
15 Aug	vs Dock Sud	4–0	W
9 Aug	@ Deportivo Merlo	4–0	W
1 Aug	vs Deportivo Camioneros	1–1	D
25 Jul	@ Ituzaingó	0–0	D

1.5Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

17%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Excursionistas	42	24	9	9	+36	81
2	Arsenal Sarandi	42	21	14	7	+28	77
3	Sportivo Italiano	42	20	12	10	+15	72
4	Talleres Remedios	42	20	11	11	+19	71
5	Deportivo Camioneros	42	19	13	10	+15	70
6	Villa Dalmine	42	18	14	10	+12	68
7	Real Pilar	42	18	12	12	+4	66
8	Deportivo Armenio	42	17	12	13	+3	63
9	Comunicaciones	42	15	15	12	+5	60
10	Deportivo Laferrere	42	15	14	13	-2	59
11	Villa San Carlos	42	12	15	15	-5	51
12	San Martín Burzaco	42	12	15	15	-6	51
13	Argentino de Merlo	42	13	11	18	-6	50
14	Flandria	42	13	10	19	-10	49
15	Deportivo Merlo	42	11	16	15	-15	49
16	Liniers	42	11	15	16	-7	48
17	Argentino Quilmes	42	10	17	15	-8	47
18	Dock Sud	42	11	14	17	-9	47
19	Defensores Unidos	42	10	16	16	-6	46
20	Brown DE Adrogue	42	10	16	16	-12	46
21	UAI Urquiza	42	8	21	13	-10	45
22	Ituzaingó	42	1	14	27	-41	17

Team

Pts

+36

+28

+15

+19

+15

+12

-2

-5

-6

-6

-10

-15

-7

-8

-9

-6

-12

-10

-41

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Argentino Quilmes vs Sportivo Italiano?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Argentino Quilmes vs Sportivo Italiano?

On our numbers Argentino Quilmes have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Sportivo Italiano 41%.

How many goals will there be in Argentino Quilmes vs Sportivo Italiano?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Argentino Quilmes vs Sportivo Italiano?

Our predicted score is Argentino Quilmes 0–1 Sportivo Italiano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Argentino Quilmes vs Sportivo Italiano?

Argentino Quilmes vs Sportivo Italiano (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Barranca Quilmena stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Argentino Quilmes v Sportivo Italiano: numbers & prediction