Ituzaingó 20%Draw 22%Dock Sud 58%Expected goals 0.71 – 1.49
80%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Dock Sud to win @ 1.90 – our chance 58% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDock Sud to win ✓58% · @1.90
Double chanceDock Sud or draw ✓80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.09
Ituzaingó vs Dock Sud: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ituzaingó welcome Dock Sud to Estadio Carlos Sacaan for a Primera B Metropolitana fixture on Saturday 29 August (19:00 WAT). In the table, Ituzaingó are 22nd, in the drop zone, on 17 points after 42 matches; Dock Sud are 18th (lower half) with 47. There are 30 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Ituzaingó, last 5: LDDLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Arsenal Sarandi, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Dock Sud, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Deportivo Merlo, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Dock Sud, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Ituzaingó.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ituzaingó 0.7 xG, Dock Sud 1.5 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ituzaingó 20%, draw 22%, Dock Sud 58%.
Lower-risk option: Dock Sud or draw (80%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Dock Sud to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ituzaingó 0–1 Dock Sud. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ituzaingó20%fair 5.03 · @3.80
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.00
Dock Sud58%fair 1.73 · @1.90
2.21Expected goals
0.71Ituzaingó xG
1.49Dock Sud xG
48%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–116%
0–212%
1–112%
0–011%
1–29%
1–08%
From our goals model: Ituzaingó 0.7 – 1.5 Dock Sud expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dock Sud to win✓
58%
1.73
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Dock Sud or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.62
Draw no bet
Dock Sud (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Ituzaingó +1 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.05
First team to score
Dock Sud to score first✓
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dock Sud / FT Dock Sud✗
34%
2.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.09
–
Recent results
Ituzaingó – last 6
LDDLDD
25 Aug
@ Arsenal Sarandi
0–2
L
22 Aug
vs Deportivo Merlo
0–0
D
15 Aug
@ Argentino de Merlo
1–1
D
7 Aug
vs Deportivo Camioneros
0–1
L
1 Aug
@ Talleres Remedios
0–0
D
25 Jul
vs Sportivo Italiano
0–0
D
0.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Dock Sud – last 6
WDLWDD
26 Aug
@ Deportivo Merlo
2–1
W
23 Aug
vs Deportivo Camioneros
2–2
D
15 Aug
@ Sportivo Italiano
0–4
L
9 Aug
vs San Martín Burzaco
4–1
W
2 Aug
@ Villa San Carlos
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Liniers
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ituzaingó and Dock Sud.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Ituzaingó vs Dock Sud?
On our numbers Ituzaingó have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Dock Sud 58%.
How many goals will there be in Ituzaingó vs Dock Sud?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ituzaingó vs Dock Sud?
Our predicted score is Ituzaingó 0–1 Dock Sud, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Ituzaingó vs Dock Sud?
Ituzaingó vs Dock Sud (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Sacaan.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
