Brown DE Adrogue 38%Draw 26%Liniers 36%Expected goals 1.01 – 0.98
82%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Liniers to win @ 3.40 – our chance 36% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBrown DE Adrogue to win ✗38% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 14.65
Brown DE Adrogue vs Liniers: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Brown DE Adrogue welcome Liniers to Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla for a Primera B Metropolitana fixture on Saturday 29 August (19:00 WAT). In the table, Brown DE Adrogue are 20th, in the drop zone, on 46 points after 42 matches; Liniers are 16th (lower half) with 48. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Brown DE Adrogue, last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Real Pilar, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Liniers, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Deportivo Armenio, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Brown DE Adrogue 1.0 xG, Liniers 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Brown DE Adrogue 38%, draw 26%, Liniers 36%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Liniers to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Brown DE Adrogue 1–0 Liniers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Brown DE Adrogue38%fair 2.66 · @2.25
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @2.62
Liniers36%fair 2.78 · @3.40
1.99Expected goals
1.01Brown DE Adrogue xG
0.98Liniers xG
53%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
0–014%
1–114%
0–113%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Brown DE Adrogue 1.0 – 1.0 Liniers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brown DE Adrogue to win✗
38%
2.66
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.36
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Brown DE Adrogue (draw no bet)
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
Liniers +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
1.05
First team to score
Brown DE Adrogue to score first✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
14.65
–
Recent results
Brown DE Adrogue – last 6
LDLWDW
25 Aug
@ Real Pilar
0–2
L
21 Aug
vs UAI Urquiza
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ Villa Dalmine
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs Excursionistas
1–0
W
31 Jul
@ Arsenal Sarandi
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Argentino de Merlo
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Liniers – last 6
WLLWDD
26 Aug
vs Deportivo Armenio
3–1
W
22 Aug
@ Flandria
0–1
L
16 Aug
vs Argentino Quilmes
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Defensores Unidos
3–2
W
1 Aug
vs Comunicaciones
0–0
D
25 Jul
@ Dock Sud
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Brown DE Adrogue and Liniers.
What is the prediction for Brown DE Adrogue vs Liniers?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Brown DE Adrogue vs Liniers?
On our numbers Brown DE Adrogue have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Liniers 36%.
How many goals will there be in Brown DE Adrogue vs Liniers?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Brown DE Adrogue vs Liniers?
Our predicted score is Brown DE Adrogue 1–0 Liniers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Brown DE Adrogue vs Liniers?
Brown DE Adrogue vs Liniers (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
