Arsenal Sarandi 42%Draw 24%Excursionistas 34%Expected goals 1.15 – 1.01
64%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Excursionistas to win @ 3.30 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultArsenal Sarandi to win ✓42% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.94
Arsenal Sarandi vs Excursionistas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Excursionistas travel to face Arsenal Sarandi on Saturday 29 August in the Primera B Metropolitana, with Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Arsenal Sarandi are 2nd, among the top four, on 77 points after 42 matches; Excursionistas are 1st (leading the league) with 81.
Current form
Arsenal Sarandi, last 5: WDLDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Ituzaingó, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Excursionistas, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Argentino de Merlo, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Excursionistas, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Arsenal Sarandi.
Head to head
When they last met (18 Apr 2026) it ended Excursionistas 0–1 Arsenal Sarandi.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arsenal Sarandi 1.2 xG, Excursionistas 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arsenal Sarandi 42%, draw 24%, Excursionistas 34%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Excursionistas to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arsenal Sarandi 1–1 Excursionistas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arsenal Sarandi42%fair 2.40 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @2.90
Excursionistas34%fair 2.93 · @3.30
2.16Expected goals
1.15Arsenal Sarandi xG
1.01Excursionistas xG
52%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Arsenal Sarandi 1.2 – 1.0 Excursionistas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Arsenal Sarandi vs Excursionistas?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Arsenal Sarandi vs Excursionistas?
On our numbers Arsenal Sarandi have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Excursionistas 34%.
How many goals will there be in Arsenal Sarandi vs Excursionistas?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal Sarandi vs Excursionistas?
Our predicted score is Arsenal Sarandi 1–1 Excursionistas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Arsenal Sarandi vs Excursionistas?
Arsenal Sarandi vs Excursionistas (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
