Arsenal Sarandi v UAI Urquiza Prediction & Expected Goals (12 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultArsenal Sarandi to win ✓64% · @1.40

Double chanceArsenal Sarandi or draw ✓85% · @1.06

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · @1.44

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗25% · fair 4.08

Arsenal Sarandi vs UAI Urquiza: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 12 September the Primera B Metropolitana brings Arsenal Sarandi against UAI Urquiza at Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Arsenal Sarandi are 2nd, among the top four, on 77 points after 42 matches; UAI Urquiza are 21st (in the drop zone) with 45. There are 32 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Arsenal Sarandi, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Villa Dalmine, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

UAI Urquiza, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Argentino de Merlo, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Arsenal Sarandi, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for UAI Urquiza.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Arsenal Sarandi 1.3 xG, UAI Urquiza 0.4 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 77% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Arsenal Sarandi 64%, draw 21%, UAI Urquiza 15%.
GG/NG: NG (59%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Arsenal Sarandi to win (64%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arsenal Sarandi 1–0 UAI Urquiza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Arsenal Sarandi64%fair 1.56 · @1.40

Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.60

UAI Urquiza15%fair 6.82 · @8.50

1.66Expected goals

1.29Arsenal Sarandi xG

0.37UAI Urquiza xG

41%Both score

23%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–025%

0–019%

2–016%

1–19%

0–17%

3–07%

From our goals model: Arsenal Sarandi 1.3 – 0.4 UAI Urquiza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Arsenal Sarandi to win ✓	64%	1.56	1.40
Double chance	Arsenal Sarandi or draw ✓	85%	1.17	1.06
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	59%	1.70	1.44
Draw no bet	Arsenal Sarandi (draw no bet) ✓	81%	1.23	–
Asian handicap	Arsenal Sarandi -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	60%	1.66	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Under 1.5 goals ✗	51%	1.98	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	77%	1.30	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	91%	1.10	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	97%	1.03	–
First team to score	Arsenal Sarandi to score first ✓	63%	1.59	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	53%	1.90	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Arsenal Sarandi / FT Arsenal Sarandi ✓	35%	2.82	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	25%	4.08	–

Arsenal Sarandi – last 6

WWWDLD

5 Sep	@ Villa Dalmine	1–0	W
29 Aug	vs Excursionistas	3–0	W
25 Aug	vs Ituzaingó	2–0	W
22 Aug	@ Argentino de Merlo	0–0	D
15 Aug	vs Talleres Remedios	0–1	L
9 Aug	@ Deportivo Laferrere	1–1	D

1.2Scored / game

0.3Conceded / game

17%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

UAI Urquiza – last 6

WLLDLD

6 Sep	vs Argentino de Merlo	2–0	W
29 Aug	@ Talleres Remedios	0–1	L
25 Aug	vs Deportivo Laferrere	0–2	L
21 Aug	@ Brown DE Adrogue	1–1	D
16 Aug	vs Deportivo Armenio	0–1	L
8 Aug	@ Flandria	1–1	D

0.7Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

33%Both scored

0%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Excursionistas	42	24	9	9	+36	81
2	Arsenal Sarandi	42	21	14	7	+28	77
3	Sportivo Italiano	42	20	12	10	+15	72
4	Talleres Remedios	42	20	11	11	+19	71
5	Deportivo Camioneros	42	19	13	10	+15	70
6	Villa Dalmine	42	18	14	10	+12	68
7	Real Pilar	42	18	12	12	+4	66
8	Deportivo Armenio	42	17	12	13	+3	63
9	Comunicaciones	42	15	15	12	+5	60
10	Deportivo Laferrere	42	15	14	13	-2	59
11	Villa San Carlos	42	12	15	15	-5	51
12	San Martín Burzaco	42	12	15	15	-6	51
13	Argentino de Merlo	42	13	11	18	-6	50
14	Flandria	42	13	10	19	-10	49
15	Deportivo Merlo	42	11	16	15	-15	49
16	Liniers	42	11	15	16	-7	48
17	Argentino Quilmes	42	10	17	15	-8	47
18	Dock Sud	42	11	14	17	-9	47
19	Defensores Unidos	42	10	16	16	-6	46
20	Brown DE Adrogue	42	10	16	16	-12	46
21	UAI Urquiza	42	8	21	13	-10	45
22	Ituzaingó	42	1	14	27	-41	17

Team

Pts

+36

+28

+15

+19

+15

+12

-2

-5

-6

-6

-10

-15

-7

-8

-9

-6

-12

-10

-41

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Arsenal Sarandi vs UAI Urquiza?

Our pick is Arsenal Sarandi to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Arsenal Sarandi vs UAI Urquiza?

On our numbers Arsenal Sarandi have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and UAI Urquiza 15%.

How many goals will there be in Arsenal Sarandi vs UAI Urquiza?

We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 23% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Arsenal Sarandi vs UAI Urquiza?

Our predicted score is Arsenal Sarandi 1–0 UAI Urquiza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.

When is Arsenal Sarandi vs UAI Urquiza?

Arsenal Sarandi vs UAI Urquiza (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Arsenal Sarandi v UAI Urquiza: numbers & prediction