Deportivo Armenio v Sportivo Italiano Prediction & Expected Goals (12 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultDeportivo Armenio to win ✓38% · @2.50

Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.40

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.62

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13% · fair 7.43

Deportivo Armenio vs Sportivo Italiano: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Saturday 12 September: Deportivo Armenio v Sportivo Italiano in the Primera B Metropolitana, played at Armenia Stadium. In the table, Deportivo Armenio are 8th, upper half, on 63 points after 42 matches; Sportivo Italiano are 3rd (among the top four) with 72.

Current form

Deportivo Armenio, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with San Martín Burzaco, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Sportivo Italiano, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Flandria, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Armenio 1.0 xG, Sportivo Italiano 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Armenio 38%, draw 26%, Sportivo Italiano 36%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Sportivo Italiano to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 36%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (50%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Armenio 1–0 Sportivo Italiano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportivo Armenio38%fair 2.66 · @2.50

Draw26%fair 3.78 · @2.60

Sportivo Italiano36%fair 2.78 · @3.00

2.04Expected goals

1.04Deportivo Armenio xG

1.00Sportivo Italiano xG

50%Both score

33%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–114%

1–013%

0–113%

0–013%

2–17%

2–07%

From our goals model: Deportivo Armenio 1.0 – 1.0 Sportivo Italiano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Deportivo Armenio to win ✓	38%	2.66	2.50
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	74%	1.36	1.40
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	50%	1.98	1.62
Draw no bet	Deportivo Armenio (draw no bet) ✓	51%	1.96	–
Asian handicap	Sportivo Italiano +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	64%	1.55	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	60%	1.65	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	67%	1.50	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	85%	1.18	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	94%	1.06	–
First team to score	Deportivo Armenio to score first ✓	44%	2.27	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	49%	2.02	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Draw / FT Draw ✗	21%	4.69	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✓	13%	7.43	–

Deportivo Armenio – last 6

DWLLWW

5 Sep	@ San Martín Burzaco	0–0	D
30 Aug	vs Villa San Carlos	1–0	W
26 Aug	@ Liniers	1–3	L
22 Aug	vs Real Pilar	0–1	L
16 Aug	@ UAI Urquiza	1–0	W
8 Aug	vs Villa Dalmine	1–0	W

0.7Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

17%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

Sportivo Italiano – last 6

WWLLWW

5 Sep	vs Flandria	3–1	W
29 Aug	@ Argentino Quilmes	2–0	W
25 Aug	vs Defensores Unidos	0–2	L
21 Aug	@ Comunicaciones	0–1	L
15 Aug	vs Dock Sud	4–0	W
9 Aug	@ Deportivo Merlo	4–0	W

2.2Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

17%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Excursionistas	42	24	9	9	+36	81
2	Arsenal Sarandi	42	21	14	7	+28	77
3	Sportivo Italiano	42	20	12	10	+15	72
4	Talleres Remedios	42	20	11	11	+19	71
5	Deportivo Camioneros	42	19	13	10	+15	70
6	Villa Dalmine	42	18	14	10	+12	68
7	Real Pilar	42	18	12	12	+4	66
8	Deportivo Armenio	42	17	12	13	+3	63
9	Comunicaciones	42	15	15	12	+5	60
10	Deportivo Laferrere	42	15	14	13	-2	59
11	Villa San Carlos	42	12	15	15	-5	51
12	San Martín Burzaco	42	12	15	15	-6	51
13	Argentino de Merlo	42	13	11	18	-6	50
14	Flandria	42	13	10	19	-10	49
15	Deportivo Merlo	42	11	16	15	-15	49
16	Liniers	42	11	15	16	-7	48
17	Argentino Quilmes	42	10	17	15	-8	47
18	Dock Sud	42	11	14	17	-9	47
19	Defensores Unidos	42	10	16	16	-6	46
20	Brown DE Adrogue	42	10	16	16	-12	46
21	UAI Urquiza	42	8	21	13	-10	45
22	Ituzaingó	42	1	14	27	-41	17

Team

Pts

+36

+28

+15

+19

+15

+12

-2

-5

-6

-6

-10

-15

-7

-8

-9

-6

-12

-10

-41

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo Armenio vs Sportivo Italiano?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Deportivo Armenio vs Sportivo Italiano?

On our numbers Deportivo Armenio have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sportivo Italiano 36%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Armenio vs Sportivo Italiano?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Armenio vs Sportivo Italiano?

Our predicted score is Deportivo Armenio 1–0 Sportivo Italiano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Deportivo Armenio vs Sportivo Italiano?

Deportivo Armenio vs Sportivo Italiano (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Armenia Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Deportivo Armenio v Sportivo Italiano: numbers & prediction